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Handicapping Week 11 Gambling Trends: ATS Stats, Angles, & NFL Matchups

2014 Cappers NFL Database Trends

Today we want to point out other NFL wagering angles that have produced results in recent years. So having said that, here are some NFL week 11 against the spread, Over / Under and Head to Head NFL trends we feel you should be keeping your eye on for some KEY NFL Week 11 matchups.

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NFL Handicappers Trend Analysis

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Let’s have a look at some of the key games coming up in Week 11.

Buffalo vs. Miami

Thursday November 13
8:30PM
Sun Life Stadium – Miami, FL
Dolphins -5, 42

Buffalo

  • Under is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Bills are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games in November.

Miami

  • Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games overall.
  • Under is 5-0-1 in Dolphins last 6 Thursday games.
  • Under is 6-0-1 in Dolphins last 7 games in Week 11.

Head to Head

  • Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
  • Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
  • Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

I really like the Bills in this one. To me they are the more talented team and their defense should travel well for this big matchup. Plus 5 is a pretty dead number too, might as well be +6.

Seattle vs. Kansas City

Sunday November 16
1:00PM
Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, MO
PK, 42.5

Seattle

  • Over is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 games following a S.U. win.
  • Over is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games overall.

Kansas City

  • Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 games following a ATS win.
  • Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Chiefs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Head to Head

  • Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

I cannot believe the line on this one. No matter how much you might like the Chiefs you have to take the Seahawks at this number.  Or you will be kicking yourself.

Cincinnati vs. New Orleans

Sunday November 16
1:00PM
Mercedes Superdome – New Orleans, LA
Saints -7.5, 50.5

Cincinnati

  • Over is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Bengals last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bengals are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

New Orleans

  • Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games on fieldturf.
  • Under is 10-1 in Saints last 11 games in Week 11.
  • Over is 7-1 in Saints last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

The Bengals looked pretty awful but this is a pretty big number given the Saints are coming off a loss too. I am going to with the over. I know New Orleans will do their part.

Detroit vs. Arizona

Sunday November 16
4:25PM
University of Phoenix Stadium – Glendale, AZ
Cardinals -2, 41.5

Detroit

  • Under is 5-0 in Lions last 5 road games.
  • Under is 5-0 in Lions last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.

Arizona

  • Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
  • Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.

Head to Head

  • Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Arizona.
  • Home team is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
  • Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Even though the Cardinals just lost their starting QB they will rally together for this one and get the victory. It will be a defensive battle.  Take the Cards -2.

MyBookie

Philadelphia vs Green Bay

Sunday November 16
4:25PM
Lambeau Field – Green Bay, WI
Packers -5, 55

Philadelphia

  • Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.

Green Bay

  • Over is 5-0 in Packers last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games following a S.U. win.
  • Over is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.

Head to Head

  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Green Bay.
  • Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Though the Packers are good enough offensively to cover I think the Eagles can keep up. This one is similar to the Thursday Nighter in that it is a kind of a dead number. I wouldn’t go huge but take the Eagles.

New England vs. Indianapolis

Sunday November 16
8:30PM
Lucas Oil Stadium – Indianapolis, IN
Colts -2.5, 57.5

New England

  • Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Patriots are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Patriots are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Indianapolis

  • Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
  • Over is 5-0 in Colts last 5 games in November.

Head to Head

  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Indianapolis.

Love the value on both sides of this one. You rarely get the Pats as an underdog but I would take the Colts at home to win against most teams and this one is just -2.5.  I am sticking with Andrew Luck in this one.

Pittsburgh vs. Tennessee

Monday November 17
8:30PM
LP Field – Nashville, TN
Steelers -5.5, 47

Pittsburgh

  • Over is 8-1 in Steelers last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
  • Over is 5-1 in Steelers last 6 games following a S.U. loss.

Tennessee

  • Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday games.
  • Titans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Titans are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.

Head to Head

  • Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tennessee.

After what we saw from Pittsburgh last week I wouldn’t have made them more than -3 on the road. Tennessee is not very good though and they have nothing to play for so they are going to get harder and harder to handicap.

Check out our Updated NFL Week 11 Odds.



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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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