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Green Bay vs. Washington Week 5 Gambling Preview & Prediction

Matchup preview, odds, and betting pick for the Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Redskins game on Sunday. Both teams will battle at FedExField. Oddsmakers currently have the Packers listed as 3-point favorites versus the Redskins, while the game’s total is sitting at 45…

Week Five Gambling – Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Redskins

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Packers at Redskins Betting Matchup

Sunday October 10 – 1:00PM
Fedex Field – Landover, Maryland
Broadcast: FOX
Green Bay (3-1) -135 vs Washington (2-2) +115 (Odds courtesy of BetUS)
Spread Favourite: Green Bay -2.5
Over/Under: 44
(odds courtesy of BetUS – BET NOW Click Here!)

Green Bay

The Packers almost let another game slip away last week against Detroit.  They jumped out to an early lead but let the Lions score the last 12 points to make it close.  In fact, they didn’t score an offensive touchdown in the second half so if Charles Woodson hadn’t intercepted a pass and taken it to the house it might have been two straight weeks of disappointing losses to division foes.

Green Bay did a better job against the Lions but they are still not running the ball like they want to.   That puts a lot of pressure on Aaron Rodgers who might be forcing it a bit.  His numbers last week weren’t great and he already has five interceptions this year after throwing only 7 all of last season.  He needs to start cutting down on mistakes because the better teams in the league will make the Packers pay if they are set up with a short field.

These two NFC teams haven’t met since 2007, a 17-14 Green Bay victory.  The way these two squads have changed that might as well be 1887 as the QB in that one for GB was a guy named Favre, Mike Shanahan was still coaching in Denver and nobody was talking about Albert Haynesworth.  The winner of the game this time around will be positioning themselves well in the NFC.

Washington

I have been hearing some chatter about the Redskins being “back” but I think it is a little premature.  Yes they beat Dallas in the opener (or Dallas beat themselves) and yes they beat Philly last week, both of which were important divisional games.  But in between they lost to Houston and St. Louis.  The Rams may be improved but you can’t be “back” and lose games you are not supposed to…badly.

The reason their fans want to say the Skins are back is because of Donovan McNabb.  His stats may not be spectacular but he is giving confidence to a team that has been missing it for so long even a little bit is something to celebrate.  He is also giving them consistency which is something they lacked during the Jason Campbell experiment.

What he can’t do is suit up on defense and tackle.  Which is a shame because he would probably do a better job than what they are working with now.  The Redskins are second last in the league in yards allowed, giving up a staggering 406 yards per game.  They are also second last in passing defense.  Call it more than a hunch but I think Aaron Rodgers is going to have a good game.  McNabb doesn’t have the weapons to challenge in a shootout.

The Pick: I am shocked that the spread in this one is so low.  Sure the Packers are missing a couple of key pieces but what left is plenty good to put Washington in its place.  Bet big on GB.

Gambling Trends

Packers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Packers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Packers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
Redskins are 5-1-3 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Redskins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 5.
Redskins are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Packers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Score Prediction:  Green Bay 38 – Washington 20

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