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Green Bay vs. Detroit Week 14 Gambling Preview & Prediction

Matchup preview, odds, and betting pick for the Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions game on Sunday. Both teams will battle at Ford Field. Oddsmakers currently have the Packers listed as 6.5-point favorites versus the Lions, while the game’s total is sitting at 46.5…

Week Thirteen Gambling – Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

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Bears at Lions

Go Inside This Matchup With Our NFL ATS Stats —>
Sunday December 12 – 1:00pm
Venue: Ford Field – Detroit, Michigan
Broadcast: FOX
Green Bay (8-4) -275 vs Detroit (2-10) +235 (Odds courtesy of BetUS)
Spread Favourite: Green Bay -6.5
Over/Under: 46.5
(odds courtesy of BetUS – BET NOW Click Here!)

Green Bay

The Packers are in the thick of the NFC playoff picture.  A game behind behind the Bears in the NFC North and already behind New Orleans in the wildcard race they do not much margin for error down the stretch.  They absolutely have to win to keep up the pressure on teams like the Eagles and Giants.  If they lose a game they are supposed to like this week that could be their season.

With so much riding on every game it is good to know that Aaron Rodgers seems to have finally found his groove.  He has gone 5 straight games without an interception and enters this contest with a rating of 100.  They need him to be sharp too as the ground game without Ryan Grant has struggled more than originally expected.  Rodgers to Greg Jennings is one of the better combinations in the league.  Jennings has 3 100 yard games in a row and that combination will be tough for the Lions weak pass defense to stop.

Green Bay built an early lead and then squandered it in a two point victory against the Lions a couple of months ago.  That game may have looked close on paper but really the Packers controlled it beating Detroit the same way they have the last 10 times these rivals have faced off.  The Packers are 7-3 ATS in that span.  Oddly all of those covers by the Lions have been at Lambeau Field.

Detroit

At the beginning of the season there was a lot of promise in Lions camps  They have had some close calls, especially against good teams but instead of getting to that next level this team is 2-10.  Injuries have been a huge with several key players out for the season who will not be playing on Sunday.  Still this team continues to compete but you have to wonder how long they can keep that up.

If they are planning an upset it would be a little bit easier if they weren’t using third string QB Drew Stanton.  In limited action Stanton has been alright but there is a reason he is third on the depth chart.  Stanton is no dummy though last week against Chicago he targeted half of his passes to Calvin Johnson and Brandon Pettigrew.  Both a large athletic players who pose matchup problems no matter who the Lions are playing.

The Lions have been playing better at home all season.  It hasn’t resulted in many wins but Detroit is 5-1 ATS at Ford Field.  Its not because of a raucous home crowd but they do play much better under the dome…especially on offense.  Trying to outscore Green Bay isn’t necessarily the best strategy but with the dearth of playmakers Detroit has on defense that is about the only chance they have of winning.  If Stanton plays well this could be a shootout.

The Pick: This line has come down throughout the week.  When it was 7.5 I preferred Detroit but at less than a TD I am backing the Pack.

NFL Gambling Trends

Packers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Lions are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.

Score Prediction:  Green Bay 33 – Detroit 24

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