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Week 10: K.C. vs. Denver Preview & Free Pick

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Free Week 10 NFL Football Pick

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Week 10: Chiefs at Broncos Matchup Handicapping Analysis

It’s Week 10 of the 2010 NFL Football season and veteran sportswriter Matt Martz will preview all of the weekly AFC West match ups throughout the season, providing some insight to help make your NFL football wagers winners.

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GO INSIDE THIS MATCHUP GET THE ATS STATS HERE —>
Date/Time: Sunday, November 14, 4:05 PM ET
Venue: INVESCO Field at Mile High in Denver, CO.
Broadcast: CBS
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Betting Lines from Bookmaker
Money Line: Not available yet
Spread: Kansas City -1
Over/Under: 43
Bet Now At Bookmaker.com —>

Both the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs will be looking for way to start the second half of the season on a high note as the Broncos attempt to turn things around, and the Chiefs try to hang onto first place in the AFC West with a win over their division rival this weekend.

Denver will be well rested coming off its bye week, and the time off couldn’t have come at a better time as the Broncos were riding a four game losing streak that included a 59-14 blowout by the Raiders and a 24-16 loss to the lowly 49ers.

The mechanism that drives the Denver offense is its ability to pass the ball. QB Kyle Orton has a penchant for throwing the rock, and has rolled up 2,510 yards with 12 touchdowns thus far in the season. However, that only amounts to just over 60 percent completions. You can’t fault Orton alone, considering the O-line has offered him up for 21 sacks. His five interceptions can be considered low when you take into consideration the number of times he has been forced to exit the pocket or throw under duress. When Orton does connect, it has been with Jabar Gaffney who leads the team in receiving with 45 catches for 516 yards and a touchdown, and No. 2 man Brandon Lloyd who has 42 catches for 878 yards and four touchdowns.

Also take into consideration that the Denver running game has been a huge let down as Knowshon Moreno has rushed for an anemic 252 yards and two touchdowns, and no other running back on the roster has more than 100 yards total for the season.

Leading tackler Derrick Johnson (65) should have no problem squashing the Broncos run support, while the trio of Eric Berry, Brandon Flowers, and Jon McGraw will be expected to shut down Denver’s prolific passing attack. All three have a pair of interceptions with Berry racking up 45 tackles.

After being one of the biggest surprises early in the season the Chiefs has dropped three of their last five, including an OT bout with the Raiders last weekend, but still find themselves in first place in the AFC West.

QB Matt Cassel has been the biggest disappointment for Kansas City, streaky at best; he has completed just 58.4 percent of his passes for 1,412 yards with 12 touchdowns and four interceptions. It’s not for the lack of capable receivers, as both Tony Moeki and Dwayne Bowe could play larger roles if Cassel could connect. Bowe has 26 catches for 420 yards and seven TD’s alone.

If it were not for the Chiefs running game, the season would be a different story. The dynamic duo of Thomas Jones and Jamaal Charles has been extremely effective with Jones rushing for 570 yards and three touchdowns while Charles has 719 yards and two scores.

It will be up to Denver’s  D.J. Williams and Mario Haggan to contain that running game. The pair have 123 tackles between them and 3 ½ sacks. Veteran DB Champ Bailey is aging but should still be effective against a mediocre Chiefs air assault.

Kansas City has shown improvement on both sides of the ball, while the season has been a disaster for the Broncos. With the Chiefs ability to run the ball more effectively and the outside chance of Cassel heating up with Bowe on at least one or two big plays, I have to give KC the slight edge in this one.

Matt’s Free Prediction: Kansas City

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Matt Martz is a sports writer for the Bakersfield Californian located in Central California. Blessed is the gambler who expects nothing, for ye shall not be disappointed.

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