Football Betting Picks: NFL Picks Week 11
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I’m not going to lie, folks. The great people here at BetUS.com sent me to see the Jets demolish the Rams, the Giants beat up on Philadelphia and the Niners give the Cardinals fits on Monday Night Football. If I’ve learned anything from that trip, it’s that being a Philadelphia Eagles fan absolutely blows. But hey, at least I picked up a nice Randall Cunningham jersey at the stadium!
The bye weeks are behind us, folks, and it’s time to strap in for the home stretch. Let’s get to the Week 11 Odds and Lines because, let’s be honest, the Week 10 lines offered an abundance of cruel and unusual punishment. As always, the home team is in capital letters (just to make it easier for you guys).
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-4) over New York Jets
Watching the Jets smoke the Rams taught me one thing – they really don’t want to give Thomas Jones the ball. I watched him score three touchdowns and rack up a huge amount of yardage, but the truth is that the Jets still went to the spread offense inexplicably too many times. If we know anything about Jets-Patriots, it’s that the Jets can’t win this one.
ATLANTA FALCONS (-4) over Denver Broncos
The Broncos never travel well. That’s a fact. Need proof? How about a 2-6 ATS/SU record in their past 8 road games? Matt Ryan has been brilliant this season. If you saw how efficiently he carved up the Saints last weekend, there would be no way to convince you not to take the Falcons in this one. By the way, the Broncos have the worst road rushing defense too and Michael Turner has some pent up frustration he needs to unload…
CAROLINA PANTHERS (-14) over Detroit Lions
Hey look! Daunte Culpepper’s back in the NFL! Great news everybody…he still sucks! The Panthers have every right to be barking up the playoff tree right now, and are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Though Jake Delhomme looked suspicious in last week’s clash with the Raiders, I don’t suspect this Panthers team sinking against the brutal Lions.
TAMPA BAY BUCANEERS (-4) over Minnesota Vikings
Don’t let Adrian Peterson suck you in like that. If all the Vikings needed to do was jump on his back and ride out to the goal line, then they’d be undefeated. Football isn’t that easy! If you don’t believe me, then lay as much money on the Vikings as you want to and watch them get creamed by a balanced Tampa team that is efficient in every phase. Then you’ll understand why Brad Childress won’t have a job at the end of the season.
Philadelphia Eagles (-9.5) over CINCINNATI BENGALS
This is the ugliest game on the board, folks. Seriously. Being in Lincoln Financial was an emotional nightmare for me against the Giants. The fans gave up half way through the first quarter. Trust me, I was in the endzone seats! It’s a good thing that the Bengals come to town to lift their spirits, because they have a date with the Cardinals the weekend after.
GREEN BAY PACKERS over Chicago Bears
This pick has nothing to do with the fact that the Bears barely lost to the best team in football. It has more to do with visiting Lambeau Field and the fact that the weather’s probably going to make things difficult and that the full compliment of Packers’ defensive starters are back. I don’t really know what I’m getting at. I could go either way here, but since these are “fearless” free picks I have to take the Packers.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-9.5) over Sage Rosenfels
Sage Rosenfels is the worst thing to happen to the Houston Texans since David Carr. Holy crap this guy is awful. The last time he played the Colts, he practically gave them the game. Hell he did the same thing last weekend! I’m never advising anyone to side with Sage. Luckily, if he keeps this up, I won’t have to.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (+4) over New Orleans Saints
The Saints look bad. Really bad. Brees is screaming at Shockey, they can’t run the ball, the defense still can’t stop the pass and Reggie Bush is somewhere hanging his head in shame because he just realized he’s dating a girl who everyone in America has seen have sex…with somebody else. Ouch.
MIAMI DOLPHINS (-10.5) over Oakland Raiders
“Hey I’ve got a great idea! Let’s trap everyone who thinks that the Dolphins can’t cover double-digits against the league’s worst coached team!” Don’t be fooled, degenerates. I’d like to think you were smarter than that.
NEW YORK GIANTS (-6) over Baltimore Ravens
The Giants are sick. The way they completely dismantled the Eagles last Sunday was laughably one of the biggest schoolings I’d ever seen live. They carved them up! It wasn’t even a game! The Ravens may be able to give this team fits, but the Giants are too polished to lose against the spread anytime soon.
ST. LOUIS RAMS / SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS over The Fans
Yikes. Niners in a blowout. By the way, the Niners are minus-6. Anytime a quarterback like Marc Bulger refuses to come out of the tunnel and play when his team is getting smashed 40-0 after the first half, you know things have gone bad. Not even Trent Green’s handsome face could turn things around.
Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) over SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
I’ve got news for you – the Cardinals are not as good as I thought they were. They’ll make the playoffs, and have all the dangerous weapons you want in a football offense, but this defense can not get a stop when it needs one. It just can’t. Everyone unabashedly loves Tim Hightower, and I don’t blame them, but the guy has nowhere to run half the time. Wisenhunt ran the Wildcat offense seven trillion times in the first quarter, even though Anquan Boldin got one yard on the first attempt! I’m not saying that they’re going to lose to the Seahawks, but when you’re talking playoffs, the Cardinals have no chance of going deep in the cold weather with that defense.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-4) over San Diego Chargers
“I suck more!”
“No! I suck more!”
Who cares? The Steelers have only proven that they can let down their sports betting investors on occasion while the Chargers nearly lost to the Chiefs. Big whoop that you stopped Tyler Thigpen’s two-point conversion. Tyler Thigpen shouldn’t even be playing in the freaking NFL! Now you get Ben Roethlisberger, Chargers fans. Enjoy.
1972 DOLPHINS over Tennessee Titans
Ok, they’re actually playing Jacksonville this weekend, where they’re favored by minus-3 on the road. Tennessee hasn’t lost to the spread yet this season, so don’t try to get sneaky this coming weekend. Can the Titans run the gauntlet though? More on this in the coming weeks (I had to give you some reason to visit the BetUS Locker Room, didn’t I?).
TONY ROMO’S PINKIE (-2.5) over Washington Redskins
The Redskins are scared. The players are scared that all their hard work is going down the drain. The coaches are terrified of being reminded of their own ineptitude and the owners are horrified of spending that much money on a losing team again this year. When you’re in that kind of mode, you can’t hope to beat the Cowboys coming off a bye week looking for revenge.
SECOND HALF OF THE SEASON over Buffalo Bills
Thanks for the memories, Buffalo. You guys had a wonderful first half of the season, and now things have gone south faster than Vin Diesel’s career. You know who did this to the degenerate betting community last year? The Detroit Lions. Thanks a bunch, fellas. You’ve been great.
