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NFL Free Pick: San Diego vs. Buffalo Gambling Lines & Handicapping Preview

Week 3: Chargers vs Bills Predictions

NFL Week betting action sees the San Diego Chargers taking on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday September 21 at Rich Stadium.  Cappers Picks provides free NFL handicapping tips all season long.

The Bills are looking to keep things rolling with the Chargers coming to town.  SD is feeling great too coming off their home win against Seattle – a bit of a shocker against the champs.

NFL Betting Lines

San Diego Chargers (1-1) vs. Buffalo Bills (2-0)
Sunday September 21
Rich Stadium – Buffalo, NY
NFL Football Betting Lines:  Buffalo -2.5
NFL Football Betting Total:   42.5
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San Diego

The Chargers responded nicely from their disappointing Monday night loss by beating Seattle last weekend. It was the kind of win that proves they are going to have to be considered a playoff contender again in the AFC.

The really impressive part was how Philip Rivers was able to have success throwing the ball against  that vaunted Seahawks secondary.

Rivers is a true pro and he picked them apart in a way we have not seen much over the course of the last couple of seasons.

The Chargers can have balance but their best offense is when Rivers is dealing in the passing game.

Buffalo did a good job limiting the Bears who have even better wide receivers than the Chargers and their defense is probably underrated.

San Diego would not shock me if they won but I don’t see how they were initially made the favourite when this line was released. Its current place is a lot more reasonable.


The Bills are looking to extend their lead in the AFC East.

They have looked much improved over the first two contests, wins over Chicago and Miami – both as underdogs.

The two wins are nice but the best thing of all is that they haven’t been playing out of their mind which means there is no reason to think they can’t sustain things over the long haul.

San Diego is the best team they have played so far and this will be a nice test.

The Bills are hosting in one of those classic games with a West Coast team visiting the Eastern Time Zone and an early start time.

To me that says the Bills should use their ground game early to try and take advantage of the sluggishness their opponent could be experiencing.

I look for the Bills to take the early lead and by the time that San Diego adjusts it is going to be just a little too late.

NFL Football Handicapping Trends

  • Chargers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
  • Chargers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3.
  • Under is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 road games.
  • Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
  • Bills are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.

NFL Football Week #3 Prediction:  4* Play on Buffalo -2.5

The Bills continue to win in what will be a game of two different halves. Love the Bills overall but also in the first half. Look at that line as well.

NFL score prediction:  Buffalo 27 – San Diego 20

There is going to be some value there for sure.

Check out our Updated NFL Week 3 Odds.

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.