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NFL Free Pick: Patriots vs. Chiefs Gambling Lines & Handicapping Preview

Week 4: New England vs Kansas City Predictions

NFL Week 4 betting action sees the New England Patriots taking on the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday September 29 at Arrowhead Stadium.  Cappers Picks provides free NFL handicapping tips all season long.

One of the best opportunities of the young season is on Monday night. Don’t miss the opportunity to cash big.

NFL Week 4 Picks

New England Patriots (2-1) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (1-2)
Monday September 29
Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, MO
NFL Football Betting Lines:  New England -3
NFL Football Betting Total:  46
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New England

The Chiefs are thought to see up there with Denver in the AFC but so far I am not seeing it. Sure they will probably win the AFC East but this hardly looks like a team that is going to get back to the Super Bowl – they barely beat Oakland last week and the offense hasn’t really been right all season long.

The defense has been propping them up but when they play good teams it won’t be enough.

That being said I think the Patriots are a very strong play this weekend. They are going to put up some wins so their perception may never be as low as it is right now.

This number is coming down too which I really don’t get.

The Pats are fade not to fade in the spotlight of a Monday night contest, especially when the world is doubting them. I am expecting a command performance, though they won’t need one to win.

Kansas City

The Dolphins clipped the Patriots and the Chiefs beat up the Dolphins so the Pats are in big trouble this weekend right?

That is definitely the way I see it as Kansas City is struggling on offense. They have limited playmakers with Jamaal Charles in the lineup and it looks like he is going to miss this one.

The KC passing game is a mess thanks to the deterioration of Dwayne Bowe and it is not like it was ever great with Alex Smith at the helm. Unless they are flawless it could be ugly.

The best chance the Chiefs have is if they can get after Brady and make him uncomfortable.

That means it all comes down to Justin Houston and Tamba Hali.

If they are on their game this one might be close but the Chiefs are still going to have problems without Charles in the lineup. They cannot expect to be able to put together long drives with the guys they have on offense.

They need to get some quickies and short fields.

NFL Football Handicapping Trends

  • Patriots are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
  • Patriots are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
  • Over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Chiefs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Chiefs last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 Monday games.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

NFL Football Week #4 Prediction:  4* Play on New England -3

This is maybe the best opportunity of the season to date. Not sure why it dropped from -3.5 to -3 but that only makes it that much more appetizing.

NFL Score prediction:  New England 27 – Kansas City 10

I just wish we didn’t have to wait the whole weekend.

Check out our Updated NFL Week 4 Odds.

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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.