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Free NFL Pick: Packers vs. Vikings Gambling Lines & Preview

Week 12 Odds: Green Bay vs Minnesota

The Green Bay Packers (7-3) and Minnesota Vikings (4-6) meet in a NFC North match-up. As always, be sure to come back to Cappers Picks daily to read our latest free NFL picks all season long.

NFL Week 12 Picks

Green Bay Packers (7-3) vs. Minnesota Vikings (4-6)
When: Sunday, Nov 23rd 2014 at 1:00pm ET
Where: TCF Bank Stadium
TV: FOX
NFL Week 12 Gambling Line: Packers –9.5
NFL Week 12 Gambling O/U Line: 48.5 Points

***2014 NFL BONUSES***

Click here to view… NFL ATS Stats & NFL Betting Angles!

Minnesota could really use a big win at home over GB in this match-up to keep pace in the division, but GB is also desperate to win because they’re trying to keep pace with the Lions in the NFC North.

Green Bay has already posted a 3-1 record in the NFC North this season. They’ll want to keep that trend going because the division may come down to which team has the best division record.

The Packers come into this game as the highest scoring team (33.0 PPG). On offense they’re averaging 267.3 PYPG (8th) and 102.2 RYPG (18th), but in this game they may have to rely on their run game.

Eddie Lacy isn’t having a great season, but he has shown flashes of brilliance. This is the perfect type of game for him because the Vikings defense allows 115.3 RYPG (21st) and 225.2 PYPG (8th).

Aaron Rodgers may have some trouble airing it out on this secondary, but Lacy will be able to power through the defensive line and wear them down early, which in turn will open up the pass game.

Minnesota’s offense hasn’t been great this year, but I’ve been impressed by their RB depth. They pick up 117.0 RYPG (12th) despite losing AP for the season early on. McKinnon and Asiata have been great.

Teddy Bridgewater is going through some growing pains though. The Vikings offense only averages 192.1 PYPG (29th) and 18.1 PPG (28th). Look for the Vikes to run the football as well in this one.

Green Bay’s defense allows 22.5 PPG (17th), 238.2 PYPG (13th) and 139.2 RYPG (29th). Both of these teams struggle against the run and I’m sure both coaches will look to establish the run game early on.

The point spread in this one is definitely high and it’s hard to predict. Green Bay will cover if they force a couple turnovers, but the Vikings will cover if they play a clean game with no mistakes.

I feel the best bet in this game is to take the under 48.5 points. I expect these two teams to run the ball a lot and that likely means a lot of clock will get chewed up.

This total seems too high for these teams.

NFL Betting Trends

* Over is 7-1 in GB last 8 road games.
* Over is 14-3 in GB last 17 games overall.
* GB are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
* MIN are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
* Over is 9-4 in MIN last 13 home games.
* Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota.
* Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

4* Free NFL Picks: Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings

The last three games in the H2H series have gone over the total and that has caused all of the action on this game to be on the over.

Under 48.5 Points (-110)

I’m convinced these two teams will run the football and go under.

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About Scott Jack

Scott is new to Cappers Picks, but has been in the industry for 7 years and he’s only 25 years old. He lives in Toronto, Canada and bleeds blue and white. He grew up playing sports and still has a love for the competitiveness.


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