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Free Pick: Packers vs. Seahawks NFC Conference Championship Lines & Over/Under Handicapping Preview

NFC Championship: Green Bay vs Seattle Predictions

NFL playoff betting action sees the Green Bay Packers taking on the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday January 18 at CenturyLink Field in Seattle, Washington.  Cappers Picks provides free NFL handicapping tips all season long.

Any title game has hype but combining these two teams really makes it must see TV.

NFL Odds

Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks
Sunday January 18
3:05PM
CenturyLink Field – Seattle, WA
FOX
NFL Betting Lines:  Seattle -7.5
NFL Betting Total:  46.5 
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This is a rematch people actually want to see.

Green Bay

Last week against Dallas the Packers owned the second half and got the victory to set up a rematch with their nemesis Seattle. The Packers have enjoyed a very fine season but they are definitely a stronger team at home than on the road this year.

At home the offense is unstoppable and mistake free but on the road they are not quite as potent. It will be relatively fresh that they lost to Seattle in the opener and I think we will see a performance that tops that one win or lose.

The key to this one will be QB Aaron Rodgers. In the opening loss he had his worst game of the season but assuming he is right physically I think he will be much better. Against the Cowboys they didn’t put much pressure on him but Seattle will force him to prove that he is up to the task physically.

Green Bay has a gifted receiving corps but the Seahawks have the best secondary in the NFL. It should be a nice battle.

Seattle

The final margin for the Seahawks might have been a cover as a big favourite but that game was actually pretty close and in doubt until an interception return for a TD. I am not saying the Seahawks were lucky to escape, just that it was closer than it might have looked on the ticker. Seattle is looking primed get back to the Super Bowl. They are playing well and will be taking on a team they have already beaten once at home this season. They are definitely peaking at the right time it seems.

Against the Panthers Russell Wilson continued his brilliance in big games. You may not know from game to game whether it will be his feet, his arms or his brain that will beat you but he has emerged as one of the most consistent and savvy QBs in the game.

I expect that he will once again be the x factor as the Packers are likely to gang up on the run and dare a mediocre group of receivers to be difference makers. Many have lost playing that game.

NFL Handicapping Trends:

  • Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
  • Packers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Packers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Seahawks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
  • Seahawks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Seahawks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Home team is 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

NFL Prediction:  Over 46.5

I like the total and number in this. The total might hold a little more value because as they proved in the first meeting the Seahawks could dominate and still get the over.

NFL Score prediction:  Seattle 30 – Green Bay 28

Hopefully it will drop but it is pretty good right now.

Check out our Updated NFL Conference championship Odds.



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About The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.


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