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NFL Free Pick: Denver vs. San Diego Betting Lines & Preview

Broncos vs Chargers Free Pick

NFL Week 15 Regular Season action sees the Denver Broncos taking on the San Diego Chargers on Sunday, December 14 at Qualcomm Stadium. Cappers Picks provides free *NFL* handicapping tips all season long.

The San Diego Chargers will attempt to keep their playoff hopes alive this week when they host the Denver Broncos.

NFL Week 15 Betting Lines

Denver (10-3) at San Diego (8-5)
When: 4:05 PM ET, Sunday, December 14, 2014
Where: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California
Broadcast: CBS
Broncos NFL Betting Odds: -4 -110 ML -190
Chargers NFL Betting Odds: +4 -110 ML +165
NFL Over/Under Betting Odds: 50½ -110
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Denver is coming off a lackluster win against Buffalo while the Chargers were New England’s latest victim. Denver could lock up their third straight AFC West title this week but Philip Rivers and company will have something to say about that.

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Can we expect a Chargers rebound or will Peyton dominate one week after his worst outing of the year? Here’s a look.

Broncos

The Broncos proved last week that they don’t necessarily need Peyton Manning to be the difference maker in a game – they beat down the Bills without Peyton throwing for 300 yards or a TD. He went for just 179 yards last week, zero TDs and two interceptions and the Broncos still beat the Bills handily.

It was the running game and the defense that showed up in Week 14 – yes folk the Broncos are quietly turning into one of, if not the most complete team in the game! CJ Anderson has been remarkable averaging 182 yards rushing in his last three outings, and the defense has given up 40 points combined in the last two games – it has harassed opposing QBs and has forced four total turnovers.

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To expect Peyton Manning to struggle again is unlikely, especially against a Chargers defense that ranks third last in the NFL against the pass. Julius Thomas should be 100% healthy and Demaryius Thomas will definitely better his 22 yard effort in Week 14! You get the sense that a Peyton Manning breakout game is imminent especially since he has two sub-standard games in a row. Against a Chargers team that surrendered 300+ yards to Tom Brady last week, it’s a good bet to happen here.

Chargers

The San Diego Chargers played OK against the Patriots but still lost – proving that they are still in the second, maybe third tier of NFL teams. They get a crack at a top tier team for the second week in a row – a lot will be known about this team Sunday night.

The Chargers defense has been porous against the pass this season – not a good sign with Peyton and the boys coming to town. They held the Pats in check for the better part of half the game in Week 14 but unraveled in the end. San Diego has been OK versus the run but should be overmatched by CJ Anderson and the suddenly scorching Denver rushing attack.

San Diego will have to hope that they can control the ball, sustain long drives and keep the Denver offense off the field in this one. Easier said than done especially since the running game has gone cold and Philip Rivers was unable to deal with any sort of pass rush that New England threw at them.

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Rivers himself is coming off one of his worst games of the season – just 189 yards passing versus New England – he looked completely overwhelmed and has to hope to channel the effort he displayed against Baltimore the week earlier.

NFL Week 15 Betting Trends

• DEN are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in December.
• DEN are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC West.
• Over is 7-3 in DEN last 10 games overall.
• SD are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Under is 17-6 in SD last 23 vs. AFC.
• SD are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 15.
• Road team is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
• DEN are 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 meetings.

The Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games while the Broncos are 3-0 ATS in their last three games against the Chargers.

4* NFL Week 15 Betting Prediction

I expect those trends to continue in Week 15. To beat the Broncos, teams absolutely have to control the clock – with zero running game in San Diego; the Chargers likely won’t be able to do that!

Denver Broncos -4

Peyton Manning is due for an explosion – look for that to come this week against a suspect Chargers secondary!

Check out our Updated NFL Week 15 Odds.

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By DaveB

Dave B has been a Fantasy Football writer for us for 10 years. A couch potato wannabe, Dave’s insights have been read by 10’s of people for years. He hope’s for world peace + global relaxation. Enjoy and remember only smoke things that are completely natural.