Week 13 Odds: San Diego vs Baltimore
The San Diego Chargers (7-4) and Baltimore Ravens (7-4) are both battling for a playoff spot in the AFC, which makes this game very important. Visit Cappers Picks for free NFL picks all season long.
San Diego is 2-0 since their bye week, but both wins were unconvincing.
NFL Week 13 Picks
Green Bay Packers (7-4) vs. Baltimore Ravens (7-4)
When: Sunday, Nov 30th 2014 at 1:00pm ET
Where: M&T Bank Stadium
TV: CBS
NFL Week 13 Gambling Line: Ravens –6
NFL Week 13 Gambling O/U Line: 45.5 Points
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Baltimore is on a 2-game winning streak after dismantling the Saints (34-27) last week on the road after coming off a week 11 bye.
On paper there is little doubt that the Ravens are the better team, but will they cover –6 points? That’s a lot of points to cover even at home, especially when you’re going up against a gunslinger like Rivers.
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The Chargers are averaging 22.3 PPG (15th), 248.2 PYPG (13th) and 89.5 RYPG (27th). Those numbers aren’t great, but I expect Rivers to have a lot of success against the Ravens poor secondary this weekend.
Baltimore’s defense is giving up 18.9 PPG (6th), 88.3 RYPG (6th) and a whopping 264.6 PYPG (29th). Rivers should be able to put up close to 300 passing yards in this one and if he does that SD will cover.
Keenan Allen and Gates have been playing well this season, but SD could use a #1 WR with not only size, but speed as well. SD has a lot of small receivers and that’s not helping Rivers out any in my opinion.
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Baltimore’s offense has been leaning on the run lately, as Joe Flacco isn’t getting it done. Baltimore has been scoring a lot (26.8 PPG – 6th) due to an effective run game (132.4 RYPG – 6th) so far this season.
The Ravens are only averaging 240.1 PYPG (16th) and that number should be higher with the WR’s they have. Torrey Smith has been a big disappointment again considering his size and speed at WR.
SD is allowing 19.6 PPG (7th) and 221.3 PYPG (6th), so they should have no problem stopping Flacco, but stopping the run game will be another story.
The Chargers are giving up 108.8 RYPG (15th) this year.
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Justin Forsett has been running wild lately and the Chargers game plan has to be to stop him. If they can force Flacco to beat them in Baltimore this week their chances of winning on the road are better.
Free NFL Picks: San Diego Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens
These two teams don’t play each other much, but the H2H series is relatively even in year’s past although they didn’t play each other last year. I’m taking the points, as Rivers will be able to air it out effectively.
San Diego Chargers +6 (-110)
I don’t trust Flacco and the Ravens run game isn’t that strong. SD can stack the box to keep Forsett limited in this game. Baltimore will also kill a lot of clock running the football, so covering –6 won’t be easy.
Check out our Updated NFL Week 13 Odds.
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