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Free NFL Pick: Vikings vs. Bills Gambling Lines & Preview

Week 7 Odds: Minnesota vs Buffalo

The Buffalo Bills (3-3) host the Minnesota Vikings (2-4) in what’ll likely be a game full of mistakes. Like always, come back to Cappers Picks daily for our latest free NFL picks throughout the season.

Buffalo lost to the Patriots (37-22) in a game where they had multiple chances, but ended up turning the football over. Minnesota’s offense looked terrible last week in a loss against the Lions (17-3).

NFL Week 7 Picks

Minnesota vs. Buffalo
When: Sunday, Oct 19th 2014 at 1:00pm ET
Where: Ralph Wilson Stadium
NFL Week 7 Gambling Line: Bills –6
NFL Week 7 Gambling O/U Line: 42.5 Points

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This game is unlikely to be very eventful unless you enjoy sloppy football and turnovers. Kyle Orton and Teddy Bridgewater both struggled last week and they both had multiple turnovers.

Orton had an INT and a fumble against the Patriots while Bridgewater threw three INT’s against the Lions. I don’t expect either QB to have a big game this week, but Orton should have a much better week.

Buffalo needs to establish the run early in this game. Minnesota allows 118.2 RYPG (19th) and the Bills will need to take advantage of that weakness because the Vikings only give up 213.8 PYPG (6th).

The Bills run game has been nonexistent almost as of late and that has to change. They now rank 22nd in rushing yards (101.0 RYPG). With Spiller and Jackson at RB those numbers have to improve.

Minnesota’s offense is reliant on a run game, as the QB position is still a work in progress. The Vikings are averaging 17.3 PPG (29th), 194.8 PYPG (30th) and 119.8 RYPG (13th) on offense this season.

Buffalo should have no problem limiting the Vikes run game, as they only give up 67.5 RYPG (1st). That’ll put a ton of pressure on Bridgewater on the road to perform and he’ll struggle up in Buffalo.

The weather isn’t going to be that great, as it’s getting chilly up north at this point. That gives the edge to the team that can run the football more effectively and that should definitely be the Bills.

Buffalo is still in the AFC East picture, but NE won on TNF already so they need to win in order to keep up with the Patriots in the division. This is a winnable game that Buffalo can’t afford losing on Sunday.

The Bills will win if they lean on the run game, as the Vikings struggle in that department. Allowing Orton to toss the football around too often is a bad idea and something the Bills don’t need to do.

Week 7 NFL Gambling Trends

* MIN are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
* MIN are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
* Under is 6-2 in MIN last 8 games on turf.

4* Free NFL Pick: Minnesota Vikings vs. Buffalo Bills

These two teams rarely play each other so the H2H trends aren’t helpful in this match-up. This game looks simple to me from a betting standpoint. I’m taking the better run game with the experienced QB.
Buffalo Bills –6 (-110)

The Bills are also at home, which is helpful because they’re much better at home. After losing badly to the Pats this team will bounce back. The spread is a bit big, but they should win by more than a TD.

Check out our Updated NFL Week 7 Odds.

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About Scott Jack

Scott is new to Cappers Picks, but has been in the industry for 7 years and he’s only 25 years old. He lives in Toronto, Canada and bleeds blue and white. He grew up playing sports and still has a love for the competitiveness.