Lions vs Jaguars NFL Football Spread/Handicapping
The Detroit Lions are hanging by a thread right now. They are already 3 games behind the Bears in the division and have lost their only two division games to this point as well.
Detroit Lions (3-4) vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1-6)
Sunday November 4
Alltel Stadium – Jacksonville, FL
1:00PM
Moneyline: Detroit -210, Jacksonville +175 at WagerWeb
Spread: Detroit -4.5
O/U: 44
ATS Matchup Stats | Gambling Insight! | Buy Ray’s Picks!
Detroit
Yes they can make up some ground but all of the team they will have to beat have better records than them and a couple of are looking like real contenders. They absolutely have to win this one and despite their struggles I am surprised the number isn’t bigger.
CLICK TO GRAB OUR BEST Expert NFL Picks for 2012 NFL FOOTBALL Betting!
Detroit has the second best passing attack in the league but what has happened to Megatron Calvin Johnson. The last two games he hasn’t topped 80 yard receiving combined and has just one TD on the season after scoring 16 last season. I have a hard time believing the league suddenly figured out how to cover him. If they can get him on track than their lack of a running game will be even further marginalized.
Detroit has to win and will. I think they can get Johnson going in this one provided the field isn’t sloppy due to weather. If it is then this is anyone’s ball game because Detroit is not a great team when things get ugly. They should be able to make things miserable for Jags QB Blaine Gabbert though (like that is hard). [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Jacksonville
Jacksonville is probably the worst team in the league and things are getting worse with Maurice Jones Drew not in the lineup. They are back home after two road losses looking to break a 4 game losing streak against Detroit. Given how bad this team is and Detroit’s ability to put points on the board it is surprising the line is so slim on this one. Here is an interesting tidbit about Jacksonville.: They are 4-0 ATS on the road and 0-3 ATS at home.
The Jaguars are the worst offensive team in football. They are last in yards, passing yards and points and whatever they might have expected in the running game is gone with MJD sidelined. Blaine Gabbert doesn’t get much help but he is also terrible. I don’t know what management saw in him and they should honestly bench and try and start over if they really do think he has a future…I don’t.
Those home/road ATS splits are interesting and don’t seem to make much sense for a horrible team. The Jags have never drawn well either so go figure. Still I think a SU and ATS loss are going to be the order of the day against Detroit this weekend. They are going to struggle in all phases and make the Lions look like a team to be reckoned with…no small feat.
Spread Pick: Detroit -4.5
O/U Pick: Over
Score Prediction: Detroit 45 – Jacksonville 10
