Week Three Gambling – Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers
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Lions at Vikings Betting Matchup
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers
Sunday October 3 – 1:00PM
Lambeau Field – Green Bay, Wisconsin
FOX
Detroit (0-3) +600 vs Green Bay (2-1) -900 (Odds courtesy of BetUS)
Spread Favourite: Green Bay -14.5
Over/Under: 45
(odds courtesy of BetUS – BET NOW Click Here!)
Detroit
The Lions are 0-3 thus far but it looks like they are going to have to wait at least another week to get their first victory of the season. After a couple of very close games they lost by two TDs last week to a Minnesota Vikings club that was also winless entering the game. A season that had so much promise in August is already looking like a another one in the basement of the NFC Central.
The Packers are definitely a team you don’t want to face undermanned but the Lions will still be without starting QB Matthew Stafford. Backup Shaun Hill was very effective against Philadelphia but not so much in the loss against Minnesota. Overall it was a very weak performance against the Vikings defense as the running game produced only 63 yards. Hill might be a pretty good backup but his style of play needs a solid ground game for him to be effective. It also looks like rookie Jahvid Best who was electric against Philly imay not play this weekend due to a toe injury. This makes the chances of an upset even less likely. 
It should come as so surprise that Green Bay has won its last 9 meetings against the Lions. They are 7-2 ATS during that run and they won both games last year by more than 20 points. If Stafford was healthy for this one Detroit might have had a gunslinger’s chance against their rival but without him they are really just trying to make things look respectable.
Green Bay
The Packers have got to be smarting after last Monday’s loss. Losing to the Bears is one thing but they practically gave the game to them with all of their penalties and sloppy play. Now they have another old rival in Detroit visiting this weekend. You can bet that they will be taking some of their frustration out on the Lions come Sunday.
With Ryan Grant out the Packers have struggled more than I expected on offense. Their running game was pitiful last week and while it would be great if it improved, QB Aaron Rodgers and the gang should be able to pick apart a Lions secondary that is among the worst in the league. This is one game where a lack of balance on offense won’t be too problematic and it wouldn’t surprise to see the Pack pass almost exclusively to build a nice lead.
As alluded to earlier Green Bay has just dominated the Lions of late. That might lead a team to look ahead but since last week’s loss was so sour I am sure that they have been very focused this week. Good news for Packer fans and bad news for the Lions. This one could be over by halftime with great chances of a backdoor cover by Detroit.
The Pick: Green Bay is the easy pick to win the game but can they cover the 14.5 points they are getting. For me that half point is the stickler especially because they might not be able to really salt away the game by running the ball.
NFL Gambling Trends
Lions are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
Lions are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC.
Lions are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Packers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Packers are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Packers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Score Prediction: Green Bay 34 – Detroit 20
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