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Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Gambling Odds & Week 12 Free NFL Pick

Denver vs K.C. Betting!

The Broncos (7-3) have a 3-game lead in the AFC West and they have won 5 straight games. They face a reeling Chiefs team that has lost 7 straight games and is winless at home.

Venue/ Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, November 25, 2012
NFL Odds From: TopBet
Moneyline: Broncos -550 / Chiefs +425
Spread: Broncos -10.5
Over/Under:  44

ATS Matchup Stats | Gambling Insight!

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Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Preview

Peyton Manning has had a great comeback this season, but the Broncos suffered a big blow in their last game losing lead RB Willis McGahee for the remainder of the season with a knee injury. NFL lines have the Broncos as big 10.5-point favorites with a total of 44.

In their last games the Broncos beat the San Diego Chargers 30-23 and the Chiefs lost to the Cincinnati Bengals 28-6.


This season the Chiefs are 6-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 7-3 and the Chiefs are 3-7 ATS and they have and Over/Under record of 5-5.

In their 7-game losing streak the Chiefs’ offense has averaged a paltry 12 ppg. Brady Quinn will get the start in this game and he has been less than stellar this season and it does not help that Kansas City has one of the worst WR corps in the league. The Denver pass defense ranks 10th in the league and their pass rush, led by Von Miller with 13 sacks, has the most sacks in the league.

For the Chiefs to have any chance to win this game they will need a good game from RB Jamaal Charles, who has 821 rushing yards on the season. However, he will be facing a Denver run defense that ranks 6th in the league.[soliloquy id=”82219″]

Manning has been playing well for the last few weeks and has a couple of solid young WR’s in Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker. Kansas City does have a good pass defense ranked 6th in the league, but their pass rush is one of the weakest on the NFL so Manning will have time to find his targets. The last time he played the Chiefs in KC was back in 2004 when he passed for 5 TD.

With McGahee out rookie Ronnie Hillman, Lance Ball, and Knowshon Moreno will man the rushing offense and for the season these 3 have combined for less than 300 yards. However, the Broncos will be facing a Chiefs’ run defense that only ranks 25th in the league.

In some betting trends for this AFC West match up the Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, and they have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 road games.

The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, and they have an Under record of 10-2 in their last 12 home games.

Jason’s Pick: Even giving 10.5 points on the road I have to go with the Broncos since they are playing great while the Chiefs are reeling and the worst team in the NFL.


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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.