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Free Conference Championship Round NFL Totals Predictions

NFL Conference Championships- Betting Preview

The NFL divisional round of the playoffs went pretty much the same way as the wildcard round, three blowouts and once close finish. The main difference with this round is that three out of four favorites ; New Orleans, Indianapolis , and Minnesota won both straight up and against the spread, while one underdog; New York pulled off the upset both ATS and straight up.

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While some high powered offenses helped all four of the wildcard games to go over the total, defense was the name of the game this past week with three games staying under the total. In fact, the combined total of all the teams that lost was just 34 points. With just four teams and three games left to crown a new Super Bowl Champion, we turn our attention to this week’s conference championships. Below is a brief preview of each game along with the current odds as supplied by MySportsbook.com..

New York Jets@ Indianapolis Colts (-7.5)
Current Over/Under 40.5

Very few people gave New York a legitimate chance to beat San Diego, but by executing their game plan to a tee they were able to pull off a huge 17-14 upset. Having the leagues #1 rushing offense and the #1 overall defense has proven to be a deadly combination in both of their playoff wins. By controlling the clock and the tempo with their running game, they have been able to minimize the effect of the opposing team’s offense. They must be able to do this again against Indianapolis as the best way to neutralize Peyton Manning is by keeping him on the sidelines. Defensively, head coach Rex Ryan has dialed up the proper schemes to cleverly disguise the coverage in the secondary along with bringing the proper amount of pressure up front. Indianapolis did not look extremely sharp on offense in their win over Baltimore, but their defense played lights out.

The Jets are very similar to the Ravens in that they want to beat you on the ground rather than through the air. If the Colts can contain New York RB’s Thomas Jones and Shonn Greene like they did with Baltimore’s Ray Rice, they will force the ball back into QB Mark Sanchez’s hand which is definitely not the Jet’s strength. We know exactly what each team will try and do so this game comes down to execution. The Jets have been impressive, but Indianapolis is still the better team. I’m going with the Colts and the UNDER.

Minnesota Vikings@ New Orleans Saints (-4)
Current Over/Under 52.5

In the divisional round, both these teams showed why they were the #1 and #2 seeds in the NFC despite ending the season on a bit of a slide. They both have an offense that can quickly put points on the board, and a defense that can bring pressure from every angle up front as well as shutdown even the best receivers in the secondary. They both have QB’s who can make plays when they have to, and while I’ll give the edge to Viking’s QB Brett Favre in terms of experience, the edge for overall arm strength and accuracy goes to the Drew Brees of the Saints. Minnesota has the better running game, but RB Adrian Peterson has been ineffective lately and may end up not even being a factor in this game. New Orleans has the better overall receiving core, but the Vikings are not that far behind.

The biggest advantage in this game could be that the Saint’s are playing at home in the Super Dome, as all of Minnesota’s losses this season have come on the road. I’m picking this game strictly on home field advantage based on the concept that the Vikings, as visitors are clearly not the same team as they are when hosting the contest. I’m going with the Saints and the OVER.

So far this season’s playoff games have for the most part been blowouts, but I think this week could be different.

These team’s match-up extremely well with one and other which should produce two close, hard fought battles that may very well be decided by which team has the ball last.

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.


Comments

Comments

  1. The majority of people are taking the Colts to kill the Jets this week but you have to consider how well New York matches up against Indy. Indy has the worst running game in the league, and is ALL Peyton. The Jets have the #1 pass-defence and if they can put the clamps on Peyton early… it could very well be a Jets win. TheCoach isn’t calling a J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS win but they will cover the spread. I know Indy shut down Baltimore’s running game last week but the Jets strive on being quick and elusive.. something Ray Rice isn’t…

    Minnesota and New Orleans is going to be such a good game. I was hoping all season long these two would meet up in the NFC Championship and honestly.. either team could team this game. The Saints are -3.0 favourites and historically home team get given three points for the home-field advantage… so basically this game is a pick-em and there is ONE thing that I like about the Saints and its that home-field advantage. Last week Warner and Romo combined for 7 sacks and 4 fumbles largely in part to not being able to communicate with their offence. The SuperDome is NUTS and I don’t care how much experience Favre has, the crowd can help a team and also hurt the other so much.

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