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Cleveland vs. New Orleans NFL Preview: Week 7 Free Pick

Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints NFL Week 7 NFL Gambling & Free Predictions

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Week 7: Browns vs Saints Preview

Date: Sunday, October 24, 2010
Venue: Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Broadcast: CBS
Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints Betting Lines from Betus.com
Money Line: OFF
Spread: Saints -13
Over/Under: 43
Bet now @ BetUs.com!

Cleveland Browns (1-5)

When Mike Holmgren took over the Cleveland Browns this past offseason, he knew the ship wouldn’t be righted in one year. So it’s no big surprise to see the Browns 1-5 through six games. They’ve also had some tough matchups, hosting Kansas City, Cincinnati and Atlanta and travelling to Baltimore.

Putting points on the board has been a problem, as expected. The Browns average an AFC-low 14.7 points per game this season. The biggest reason for their struggles: poor quarterbacking. Seneca Wallace and Jake Delhomme both struggled to take Cleveland downfield before they each suffered ankle injuries.

But is there a light at the end of the tunnel? Colt McCoy made his first NFL start under center last week – against a vicious Steeler defense in Pittsburgh. On paper, that was a nightmare matchup for him. Yet he survived; he was picked off twice but he went 23 for 33 for 281 yards and a touchdown.

With the Browns poised to fall behind and play catchup in this one, we should see plenty of McCoy again versus New Orleans. Unfortunately, it looks like he’ll be without his top receiving options. Both Josh Cribbs and Mohamed Massaquoi were concussed by James Harrison last week and are long shots to play in Week 7.

New Orleans Saints (4-2)

That’s more like it. After a frustrating, embarrassing home loss to Arizona, the Saints arrived in Tampa Bay angry. The passing game got back on track, with Drew Brees throwing three touchdown passes, and the Saints flew out to a 24-0 lead before cruising to a 31-6 win.

Brees remains the focal point of New Orleans’ offense but the running game was a pleasant surprise last week. With Reggie Bush (broken leg) and Pierre Thomas (high ankle sprain) both out, Christopher Ivory broke out for 158 rushing yards on just 16 carries. Barring a miracle, Bush and Thomas will sit out again. Ivory could have another big day against a Browns defense allowing more than 120 rushing yards per game – especially if the Saints get a big lead.

The pick:

An over/under of 43 may seem low for a Saints’ game, but it makes sense for two reasons. First off, the Browns’ pass defense is respectable, allowing 228.8 yards per game. That’s hardly outstanding but better than what you might expect from a 1-5 team. So I wouldn’t expect Brees to throw for 400 yards in this one.

Second, I actually think McCoy’s matchup this week could be more intimidating than his visit to Pittsburgh. Even though the Steelers are a tougher unit than New Orleans, there’s something particularly intimidating about playing in the deafening, claustrophobic Superdome against the defending champs. The Saints have the NFL’s No. 7 pass defense and rank second in the league with nine forced fumbles.

Playing in a tough environment and probably minus his top receivers, I expect McCoy to regress this week. The result should be very similarl to the Saints’ last game. Brees will carry them to an early lead, their defense will hold and they’ll let Ivory close out the game on the ground.

Cleveland at New Orleans Gambling Trends:

Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-39 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Browns vs Saints prediction: Saints 31, Browns 10

Money Line: OFF
Spread: Saints -13
Over/Under: UNDER 43

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About Shea Matthews

Shea Matthews the Senior Writer at CP. Lives and breathes sports. He made the transition from athlete to sports journalist at a young age, writing in TV & national papers. Shea applies his knowledge to sports betting + handicapping daily, and shares winning picks with the world.