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Falcons vs. Redskins Gambling Odds & Week 5 Free NFL Pick

Atlanta vs Washington Betting

Headline: Redskins Try to Knock Falcons from Unbeaten Ranks in Week 5

In what has potential to be shootout of the weekend, the 4-0 Atlanta Falcons travel to Washington to take on the upstart 2-2 Redskins. The Falcons have ascended to the NFL elite this season with strong offensive play while the Skins have made huge strides toward respectability because of one man – Robert Griffin III.

Atlanta Falcons (4-0) vs. Washington Redskins (2-2)
Date/Time: Sunday, October 7, 2012, 1:00 PM ET
Venue: FedEx Field
Broadcast: FOX
Falcons vs. Redskins Betting Lines from betonline.com
Spread: Falcons -3 (-110)
Moneyline: Falcons -155: Redskins +135
Over/Under: 50 points

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Sunday should tell a lot about both teams – expect some fireworks at FedEx Field.

The Atlanta Falcons made no bones about what they were going to attempt to do this season – up-tempo no-huddle offensive sets designed to drive opposing defenses nuts. Mission accomplished! The Falcons have the third best scoring offense in the game, the 11th best passing offense and the surprisingly low 18th ranked rushing unit. The running game showed some signs of life in Week 4 however – Michael Turner ran for 103 yards and a score in the win.

With Matt Ryan playing at an MVP caliber level, Roddy White, Julio Jones and Tony Gonzalez catching passes it is difficult to imagine any team slowing this offense down. A renewed confidence in the running game also helps ahead of their showdown on Sunday.

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The Falcons have actually played some defense as well this year which has helped along the way to a 4-0 start. They are 8th against the pass giving up 207 yards per game but they still struggle against the run – 29th and giving up 146.25 yards per game. The Falcons defense held Cam Newton to just 215 yards in the air in Week 4 but gave up 199 yards on the ground.

The Washington Redskins have finally found their man! Robert Griffin III has been terrific in the first quarter of the season – he has been the architect of an offense that is 16th in league passing and tops in the NFL in rushing. It’s proof that a threat at quarterback opens the offense up to success in the running game. All of a sudden the Skins are a multi-pronged attack that puts points on the board! Currently they sit 4th in the NFL in scoring with 30.75 points per game. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Washington’s defense has been a sore spot for them all season so far. They are 31st against the pass giving up an astounding 326.25 yards per game and they are 10th against the run. Against the high powered Atlanta offense this unit will surely have their hands full – their best hope is to slow, not stop Matt Ryan and company and let their offense go to work!

Betting Prediction: A few trends to consider:
• Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
• The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 9 games
• Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 5 games at home
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
• Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

This game has shootout written all over it. The teams are averaging 60 points per game combined and are surrendering 50. I can’t see the Skins being able to slow down this sky high Atlanta team enough with the defense they possess. Washington’s weakness on D plays right into the hands of Atlanta’s O. In an exciting game take the road team to keep their perfect record intact.

Pick: Atlanta Falcons -3 and seriously consider the Over – 50 points

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About DaveB

Dave B has been a Fantasy Football writer for us for 10 years. A couch potato wannabe, Dave’s insights have been read by 10’s of people for years. He hope’s for world peace + global relaxation. Enjoy and remember only smoke things that are completely natural.


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