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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Gambling Odds & Week 12 Free NFL Pick

Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Betting!

Headline: Surging Bucs Hope to Gain Some Ground On 1st Place Atlanta

Two of the hottest teams in the NFL meet in a marquee NFC South battle this Sunday when the one-loss Falcons head to Tampa to take on a Buccaneers team that has won four straight games. Both teams are within the top 6 in scoring in the NFL and each has their own set of strengths on defense.

Atlanta Falcons (9-1) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-4)
Date/Time: Sunday, November 25 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Broadcast: FOX
Falcons vs. Bucs Betting Lines from Bovada
Spread: pk
Moneyline:OFF
Over/Under: 49 points

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Needless to say, Sunday’s showdown should be interesting – even the oddsmakers don’t quite know what to think!

The Atlanta Falcons sustained their first loss two weeks ago and they almost let one slip away last week against the hapless Arizona Cardinals. But a win is a win and nobody will be looking at the score of their Week 11 game at the end of the season.

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The Falcons are sixth in the league in scoring – 27 points per game – they have been led by MVP candidate Matt Ryan and the Falcons third ranked passing attack. Matt Ryan has been solid completing 67.5 percent of his passes with 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Tony Gonzalez has 64 catches and six touchdowns, Roddy White has 62 catches and four touchdowns, and Julio Jones has 47 catches and five touchdowns. The passing game will be the key on Sunday – Atlanta’s 28th ranked rushing attack will have a tough time against Tampa’s #1 run defense!

Defensively Atlanta is allowing 19.3 points per game, good for 6th best in the NFL, 130.5 rushing yards (26th in the league), and 216.3 passing yards (10th in the league), with 11 interceptions and 24 sacks. They have been better than advertised this season and are formidable for once!

Tampa Bay beat the Carolina Panthers last week for their fourth win in a row. They are playing at a very high level on both sides of the ball at the moment and are now staring at a playoff position that was thought of as unthinkable a month ago.

They are 4th in the NFL in scoring – 28.70 points per game, they own the 14th ranked passing game and the 9th ranked rushing offense. Josh Freeman has completed 56.4 percent of his passes with 21 touchdowns and seven interceptions.[soliloquy id=”82219″]

Doug Martin has reached the 1,000 yard mark averaging 5.1 yards per carry with seven catches while catching 27 passes out of the backfield with another touchdown. Vincent Jackson has 42 catches and seven touchdowns, Mike Williams has 34 catches and five touchdowns, and Dallas Clark has 27 catches and three touchdowns including the game winner last week against Carolina.

The Buccaneers defense allows 23 points per game (17th in the NFL), a league best 81.8 rushing yards, and 312.6 passing yards (dead last in the league) with 15 interceptions and 17 sacks. They are certainly vulnerable through the air and that is where the Falcons excel.

Betting Prediction:

• Atlanta is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
• Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
• Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 games
• The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games
• Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games at home
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

The Atlanta Falcons are the top team in the NFL but they have looked anything but the last couple of weeks. The Bucs on the other hand have looked like and elite squad recently. But what this game will come down to is defense! With a Swiss cheese pass defense it is unlikely Tampa will be able to slow Matt Ryan and the boys. Ryan will be huge and propel his team to the win in a high scoring affair.

Pick: Atlanta Falcons

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About DaveB

Dave B has been a Fantasy Football writer for us for 10 years. A couch potato wannabe, Dave’s insights have been read by 10’s of people for years. He hope’s for world peace + global relaxation. Enjoy and remember only smoke things that are completely natural.


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