Need some Prop Picks?
This week I was assigned the job of picking five team (not individual player) prop bets on the market and explain why you should bet them. Here we go. The 2015 Super Bowl in Arizona is on Sunday between the Seahawks and Patriots.
NFL Football Gambling
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As always, visit Cappers Picks daily for our free NFL picks all season long.
Super Bowl XLIX Player Prop Bets
Prop Bet 1: Seattle Seahawks Team Total Over 24 (-125)
This is an interesting number with the Pros pounding the Under and the Public coming in on the Over for the full game. Instead of playing the full game total, this may be the safest way to go.
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The Patriots defense was picked apart by Flacco and the Ravens in the AFC Divisional game and the duo of Russell Wilson and Marshawn Lynch could spell trouble for the Pats D.
If New England goes up in the game, Wilson likes to pick up the tempo and get the offense into some no hurry up situations.
Also something to take into consideration is that if Lynch can get a steady rush game established early for Seattle, the play action pass will open up.
Seattle is 2-0 this post season on the over with their team totals.
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Prop Bet 2: Team To Record Most Sacks In The Game Seattle +130
This is quite a generous line here. With New England’s defense listed as a -160 favorite to win this prop, the line is inferring that New England will force Wilson into some throwing downs. Backing Seattle here for 2 reasons.
1. Marshawn Lynch: If Lynch starts rumbling from the first snap like he’s been, the Seahawks will keep the ball on the ground and get into some short third down situations. If this is the case, even when Wilson drops back to throw, he can get rid of the ball quickly because of the short yardage needed.
2. “Legion of Boom”: The catchy Seattle phrase is something the defense must live up to on a regular basis. They bring excessive blitz packages and try to make Tom Brady uneasy in the back field.
Prop Bet 3: Seattle To Score A Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown +225
This prop would have cashed in both of Seattle’s playoff games thus far. A pick six is the most realistic outcome to win this prop. The Seahawks’ defense did just that against the Panthers in the NFC Divisional Game.
However, you never know what Pete Carroll might call with his punt or field goal kick units. His fake field goal for a touchdown call against Green Bay is the main reason why they’re here. It completely changed the complexion of the game.
Prop Bet 4: New England Patriots Team To Score Last In First Half -115
The Patriots offense is much more built for the 2 minute offense than Seattle’s.
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Give Tom Brady around a minute with a timeout or two and he can get the Patriots into at least field goal range, no problem.
Prop Bet 5: New England Will Not Score A Touchdown In The First Quarter -135
Expect both teams to feel each other out in the first quarter of the Superbowl. Both teams will be conservative early with their play call and take the points if given the opportunity.
Best case scenario for this is Seattle gets their rush game going and chews up some clock. Keeping the ball away from Tom Brady for as much time as possible will be the goal for Seattle early.
Check out our Updated Super Bowl XLIX Odds.
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