Superbowl Wrap
The football season is now officially over (sob!!). I hope that for you, like me it ended on an investing high note.
As for the game itself, I thought it was entertaining because it was close but it didn’t really have all that many memorable plays or huge swings.Here is why I am happy the day after: (I hope you are smiling with me)
The Giants won…and covered: This year I waited until about 6:00 to get down on the Giants at +2.5. Playing the waiting game might have cost me a half point but at the time I made the play I was very pleased to be getting 2x for odds instead of the usual juice. I saw a lot of 1.95s out there on the odds front too so it looks like Giants backers got a little more bang for their buck with the outcome.
Also, and this is not me bragging because I am sure most of you did this too, I put a little on the Giants on the money line as well. This payoff was not huge at 2.25x but to me seemed a smart play, even though I was backing NY ATS because of the numbers that support situations where a game has a line of -6 or smaller: the team that covers in those situations is also winning at a high percentage of late.
So if you thought the Giants were the play against the number adding something on the ML, especially for a game you know you are going to watch from start to finish turned out to be a profitable way of keeping it interesting.
Normally I get down in more ways than that for the Super Bowl but that is all did yesterday. Still I am happy to share my perspective on a couple of things.
Although I didn’t bet the totals it came as no surprise to me that the game came in under, with it not even being that close. Just 2 of the previous 5 games these teams played in the playoffs eclipsed the number of 54 and usually there is a feeling out process that keeps scoring down as well.
Even if the Pats had come up with a heroic score at the end the game still would have been way short…which is too bad because that would have added some drama. I never bet the under on anything which is why this was a pass for me.
Also, if you haven’t heard already, there was some lucky gentleman (I am assuming) out there who actually bet that the first score of the game would be a safety. The shocking part is not that the bet was made or that it paid off 50:1 but that the wager was for a cool grand. I wish I had that kind of bankroll to be so frivolous. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
I also wish I knew what other bets he made and how he made out overall.
Lastly, it might have gone unnoticed but in my props article I highlighted taking the over 1.5 yards on the shortest TD scored.
This one was truly put to the test with 3 of the 4 TDs coming from 6 yards or closer. I am glad it paid off if anyone followed but admit there is certain amount of luck there.
Still not as much as that safety because the payoffs would have been way lower.
Lastly, a final thought looking ahead to the odds for the 2013 Super Bowl posted below.
Why are the Patriot so high; the 49ers so low, and is it crazy to get down on the Lions this early.
Enjoy your off season
2013 Super Bowl Future Odds
Green Bay Packers 6/1
New England Patriots 7/1
New Orleans Saints 8/1
Philadelphia Eagles 12/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 12/1
Houston Texans 12/1
Baltimore Ravens 14/1
New York Giants 15/1
San Diego Chargers 16/1
New York Jets 16/1
San Francisco 49ers 18/1
Dallas Cowboys 18/1
Detroit Lions 18/1
Atlanta Falcons 22/1
Chicago Bears 30/1
Arizona Cardinals 30/1
Miami Dolphins 35/1
Cincinnati Bengals 40/1
Indianapolis Colts 50/1
Tennessee Titans 40/1
Oakland Raiders 50/1
Carolina Panthers 50/1
Denver Broncos 50/1
Kansas City Chiefs 50/1
Seattle Seahawks 60/1
Buffalo Bills 60/1
Washington Redskins 60/1
Minnesota Vikings 75/1
St. Louis Rams 75/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 75/1
Cleveland Browns 100/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 100/1
