2011 Week 8 NFL Gambling Lines: Top 3 Matchups and Predictions
The odds makers earned their paychecks last week as things were even right across the board. In the 13 games on the schedule, six favorites and six underdogs each covered with one game ending as a ‘push’.
The same held true for the home and away teams while seven of the games stayed ‘under’ the total.
My top plays last week were evenly split as well with a record of 1-1-1. Digging deep into the numbers for this week’s NFL matchups, I was able to mine out the value in the spreads to come up with a few more top plays for Week 8 in the NFL.
All odds quoted are courtesy of Bodog SportsBook
Sunday, October 30
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans (-9.5)
Just when you thought that Jack Del Rio’s bunch was going to cash it in for the season, the Jaguars come up with one of the biggest upsets this season in a 12-7 shocker over Baltimore as 10-point home underdogs. Jacksonville’s defense is now ranked sixth overall in the league and eighth in points allowed.
The Texans made a statement last week with a 41-7 thrashing of Tennessee as three-point road underdogs to re-take control of the AFC South at 4-3. A win this week would complete a first round sweep of the division having already beaten Indianapolis on opening day.
Jacksonville is 2-6 against the spread in its last eight games as an underdog, while Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last five games as a home favorite. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to Houston.
The Pick: Houston 28 vs. Jacksonville 13
New England Patriots (-2.5) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Patriots headed into their bye week at 5-1 straight-up and 4-2 ATS. With the play this season of Tom Brady and Wes Welker, it is little wonder that they have the top ranked offense in the league and are averaging 30.8 points a game. The main question mark for this team is on the defensive side of the ball where it is ranked last in total yards allowed. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
The Steelers have been just the opposite with a defense that is third in both total yards and points allowed to go along with an offense that is ninth in total yards but averaging just 21.6 points a game. Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU on the year, but just 3-4 ATS.
New England is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games as a favorite and Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last five games as an underdog. The Patriots are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 6-1 ATS in their last seven trips to the Steel City.
The Pick: New England 28 vs. Pittsburgh 23
Monday, October 31
San Diego Chargers (-3.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chargers are 4-2 SU on the season, but have not been overly impressive in compiling that record. They have only covered the spread twice and struggled to get by Minnesota and Miami. Philip Rivers has thrown for 1,715 yards so far, but has nine interceptions verse just seven touchdowns.
The Chiefs appeared to be back on track after a horrendous start with three straight wins. They were outscored by a whopping 82 points in their first three games, but have outscored their opponents by a combined score of 78-41 in their last three.
San Diego is 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight games and the Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four. The Chargers beat the Chiefs 20-17 in Week 3 but came nowhere near covering the 14.5-point spread. Overall, they have not fared well on the road in this series with a 4-9-1 record ATS in their last 14 trips to Arrowhead Stadium.
The Pick: Kansas City 24 vs. San Diego 23
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One reply on “2011 NFL Gambling: Lines | Week 8 Matchups & Predictions”
Is Dave Schwab also called “DJ” Schwab?