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2011 NFL Gambling: Lines | Week 12 Matchups & Predictions

Dave Schwab weighs in on the second week of the NFL 2011 season. A brief review of the current Week 12 point spreads and NFL Week 12 over/under lines for all the games being featured in Week eleven…

2011 Week 12 NFL Betting Odds: Top 3 Matchups and Predictions

Week 11 in the NFL was the final round of byes this season, so with 14 games on the schedule there were eight home teams that covered the spread, four road teams that covered, and two games ending in a ‘push’. There were seven favorites and five underdogs that covered and two ‘pushes’.

The total line had six games go ‘over’, seven games stay ‘under’, and one end in a ‘push’.

My top plays for Week 11 came up a bit short with a 1-2 record overall, so it was back to the drawing board to thoroughly crunch the numbers in an effort to mine out the value in this week lines. Here are a few more top plays for Week 12.

All odds quoted are courtesy of JustBet.com.

Sunday, November 27

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets (-9)

This week the rubber meets the road for the slumping Bills. They have lost three straight games and four out of five to fall to 5-5 straight-up and 4-5-1 against the spread. After averaging close to 30 points a game earlier in the season, Buffalo’s offense has all but disappeared with a total of 26 points in its last three games.

New York finds itself in the same boat as the Bills at 5-5 SU (4-6 ATS) after back-to-back losses to New England and Denver. The Jets rolled over Buffalo 27-11 in Week 9 as 2.5-point road underdogs, but only managed to score a combined 29 points against the Patriots and Broncos.

The road team in this series is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings and the underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 games. Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games against the Jets. The Pick: New York 20 vs. Buffalo 13

Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5)

Cleveland finds itself in the midst of another mid-season fade after losing three of its last four games both SU and ATS. It is now 4-6 SU overall and 2-4-2 ATS. The Browns’ offense has been dismal this season with an average of just 14.5 points a game. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

The Bengals are coming off back-to-back losses to Pittsburgh and Baltimore that put a major dent in both their division title and wildcard hopes. They are now 6-4 SU, but a healthy 7-2-1 ATS. Cincinnati is still ranked 12th in the league in scoring and eighth in points allowed.

The Browns are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against the AFC North, while the Bengals are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games in the division and 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games against the AFC. The Pick: Cincinnati 27 vs. Cleveland 17

Washington Redskins vs. Seattle Seahawks (-4)

After a surprising 3-1 start, reality has set in for the Redskins with six straight losses. They are now 3-7 SU on the year and 4-6 ATS. They have especially struggled on the road with just one win in five games and a 2-3 record ATS.

Seattle is 4-6 SU this season, but 6-3-1 ATS. It has won its last two games including a stunning 22-17 victory over Baltimore in its last home game as a seven-point underdog. Overall, the Seahawks are now 2-2 SU at home, but a profitable 3-1 ATS.

Washington is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five trips west to Seattle. The home team in this series is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four. The Pick: Seattle 23 vs. Washington 16

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By Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.