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2011 NFL Gambling: Lines | Week 10 Matchups & Predictions

Dave Schwab weighs in on the second week of the NFL 2011 season. A brief review of the current Week 10 point spreads and NFL Week 10 over/under lines for all the games being featured in Week ten…

2011 Week 10 NFL Gambling Lines: Top 3 Matchups and Predictions

Week 9 of the NFL regular season marked the halfway point for all 32 teams as each now has at least eight games under their belt. Last week also provided a healthy return for the road teams as 10 of 14 covered against the spread.

There were eight underdogs that covered and nine of the 14 games stayed ‘under’ the total.

My top plays last week did not fare so well with a 1-2 record overall, so it was back to the drawing board in an effort to mine out the value in this week lines.

After thoroughly crunching the numbers, I was able to unearth a few more top plays for Week 10.

All odds quoted are courtesy of Bodog SportsBook

Sunday, November 13

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Steelers looked like the team to beat in the AFC after pushing around New England in a 25-17 victory two weeks ago as a three-point home underdog, but last week’s 23-20 loss to Baltimore as a 3.5-point home favorite once again leaves this team with something to prove.

The Bengals have been one of the most surprising teams this season behind a pair of rookies in quarterback Andy Dalton and wide receiver A.J. Green. The real reason for their 6-2 start is a defense that is giving-up an average of just 17.5 points a game.

The favorite in this series is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings and the road team is 13-5-1 ATS in the last 19 games. Pittsburgh is 7-2 ATS in the last nine contests overall and 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 trips to Cincinnati. The Pick: Pittsburgh 24 vs. Cincinnati 14

Buffalo Bills vs. Dallas Cowboys (-5.5)

The Bills are coming off one of their worst performances of an otherwise very productive season after an ugly 27-11 loss to the Jets as 2.5-point home favorites. They are now 5-3 straight-up on the year and tied with New York and New England for the lead in the AFC East.

Dallas was able to even its record at 4-4 SU with a 23-13 victory over Seattle. It barely missed covering as an 11-point home favorite. The win however proved to be costly as the Cowboys lost their best weapon on offense for a few weeks when wide receiver Miles Austin reinjured his hamstring. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Buffalo is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games as a road underdog and 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a SU loss. The Cowboys are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite and 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite overall. The Pick: Dallas 28 vs. Buffalo 27

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears (-2.5)

The Lions snapped a two-game skid with a dominating 45-10 win over Denver as three-point road favorites before last week’s bye. They are now 6-2 SU on the year and a solid 5-2-1 ATS. Detroit hammered the Bears 24-13 the first time the two met this season as a 6.5-point home favorite.

Chicago is coming off a huge 30-24 victory over Philadelphia this past Monday night as a nine-point road underdog. Jay Cutler played one of his best games of the season with two touchdown throws and no interceptions, but the up-and-down nature of his play could point towards a sub-par performance this week.

Detroit is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games against the NFC North and 4-0 ATS in its last four games as a road underdog. The underdog in this series is 17-8 ATS over the course of the last 25 games and the Lions are 7-3 ATS in the last 10. The Pick: Detroit 23 vs. Chicago 21

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By Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.