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NFL Week 11 Betting Odds

Matt Martz weighs in with a Week 11 Preview, and NFL predictions, plus a look at the early Week 11 NFL odds, and betting spreads…

NFL Week 11 Preview

Week 11 features some great games as the teams begin battling for a push to the playoffs. There are several division races and wins and losses become crucial. The Cowboys and Redskins will renew their NFC East rivalry this week as well as an AFC battle between the New York Jets and the New England Patriots. My pick for game of the week is the Indianapolis Colts at the Baltimore Ravens.

Lot’s of football this week with no byes.

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Thursday, November 19 8:20 pm – Miami Dolphins @ Carolina Panthers
Line: Carolina -3 (Total 42)

The Panthers (4-5) will play two back-to–back-home games beginning on Thursday when they host the Miami Dolphins (4-5). Both teams broke out of early slumps and have been plying well in the last six weeks. Both teams have established effective rushing attacks, especially the Fins with their wildcat offense. Miami will be without running back Ronnie Brown, but linebacker Joey Porter is set to return. Carolina’s Jake Delhomme has made some improvements throwing the ball and the Panthers defense has been solid. This game will be won or lost on the ground. Look for the Dolphins to snatch this one on the road.

Sunday, November 22 1:00 pm – Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys
Line: Dallas –11 (Total 42)

The Cowboys (6-3) will look to change history on Sunday when the Redskins (3-6) travel to the new Cowboys Stadium. Washington have fared well in Texas historically, but this years Redskins are a different story. However, this is still a great rivalry and should be a fun game. The Skins are coming in off a win and the Cowboys off a loss. Washington’s running game has been excellent with Ladell Betts in place of Clinton Portis. Dallas should be able to control the game with its defense, especially the pass rush. Look for the Cowboys to take this one at home.

Sunday, November 22 1:00 pmCleveland Browns @ Detroit Lions
Line: Detroit –2 (Total 39)

The Cleveland Browns (1-8) will travel to the Motor City to take on the the Lions (1-8) in what will probably be for nothing more than a means that may decide draft pick orders. This will be the sleeper of the week. Detroit will put together a little more on offense to walk away with a win at home.

Sunday, November 22 1:00 pmSan Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers
Line: Green Bay –7 (Total 42)

San Fransico (4-5) will be trying to keep its playoff hopes alive when they head to a very cold Lambeau Field. Temperatures are forcasted in the upper 40s. The Packers (5-4) will need to improve their offensive line perfotmance and protect QB Aaron Rodgers if they even hope to have a chance at winnigg this one. Niners quarterback Alex Smith will need to hand the ball off to running back Frank Gore to pound this one out on the ground and avoid costly turnovers.The Packers will find a way to win this one at home.

Sunday, November22 1:00 pmPittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Line: Pittsburgh – 10 (Total 40)

The Steelers (6-3) should be hungry after last weeks loss to Cincinnati and put this one away early. Kansas City (2-7) continues to struggle and the Steelers defense will be hungry for a Matt Cassell sandwhich all day. Chiefs runing back Jamaal Charles has done a nice job rushing the ball for a sidelined Larry Johnson, but the Pittsburgh defense seem to be able to handle any offensive strategy thrown at them and should be able to shut down anything Kansas City can muster. Pittsburgh walks away with an easy win at Arrowhead Stadium.

Sunday, November 22 1:00 pmAtlanta Falcons @ New York Giants
Line: Atlanta –6 ½ (Total 46)

This match up may prove to be the deciding factor of who will and won’t make it to the this years’ postseason. Both of these teams were picked to lead win their divisions at the start of the season, but have struggled just to stay in a playoff hunt. The Falcons’ (5-4) Matt Ryan is in a slump and to boot Atlantas has lost running back Michael Tuner for at least one to two games. The Giants (5-4) are also in a downward spiraI behind an ailing Eli Maning, who has been plauged with a foot injury for the past several games. Perhaps the bye week allowed his foot some time to heal.The Giants must reestablish a rushing attack behind Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs. A small improvement from Manning will net the Giants a win at home.

Sunday, November 22 1:00 pm New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Line: New Orleans -11 (Total 51)

The New Orleans Saints (9-0) are dominating the AFC south and are one of two undeafted teams remaining. They have many weapons both offensively and defensively to beat you. They have also proven that they have the ability to roar back in the closing minutes even after falling behind early on. The Bucs (1-8) have played better as of late, playing much better defensively since their bye. Unforutnaely for Tampa Bay, it won’t be enough to stop the Saints machine. New Orleans wins this by a huge margin.

Sunday, November 22 1:00 pm Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Line: Denver -4 ½ (Total 36)

Buffalo (3-6) fired coach Dick Jauron on Tuesday. The team is struggling to get wins and has been plauged with injuires. Trent Edwards and Terrell Ownes are yet to find that perfect chemistry 11 weeks into the season, and one has to wonder if they will. The Jags (5-4) are unpredictable and have shown some improvemnent as the season progesses .This should be an opportunity for them to pick up ground, while other AFC wild card hopefuls face more stern challenges. Sticking with the run game should be just about enough to get that done. Look for Jacksonville to get a much needed win to make a run for the playoffs.

Sunday, November 22 1:00 pm – Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens
Line: Indianapolis –1 (Total 45)

This is my choice for game of the week. The Ravens and the Colts won the only two wild card spots in the AFC last year. The Colts (9-0) are running on all cylinders, and a miracle comeback against the Patriots last Sunday. The Ravens (5-4) need to beat teams like Indy and Pittsburgh to get back into the postseason. The Colts’ Peyton Manning has historically had his way with Baltimore’s defense, but Ray Lewis will try to change that and put an end to the Colts none-game winninig streak. Look for Indy to stugggle early on, but eventually finding a way to throw enough points on the board to win this one.

Sunday, November 22 1:00 pm Seattle Seahawks @ Minnesota Vikings
Line: Minnesota -11 (Total 46)

The Seahawks’ (3-6) Matt Hasselbeck will go head-to-head with legend, Brett Favre, in what could prove to be a decent match-up, if Seattle bings their A-game. Brett Favre has been shattering the oppoents secondaries, and has shown little signs of slowing in his “old age.” The Seahawks are going to have difficulty controlling the Vikings’ (8-1) run game as well, as they will face one of the leagues best running backs, Adrian Peterson. This should be an opportunity for Minnesota to move one step closer to grabbing the NFC North title. Minnesota wins this one under the dome.

Sunday, November 22 4:05 pm Arizona Cardinals @ St. Louis Rams
Line: Arizona –9 (Total 36)

Kurt Warner returns to St. Louis looking for a win to pull ahead in the NFC westr. Arizona (6-3) has been on run after a slumping to start the season, and QB Kurt Warner has been finding his targets, Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald. The Rams (1-8) will count on a break out game from runing back Steven Jackson, but he will face a stingy Cards run defense. Arizona won only three of their last seven games in 2008, but I don’t think the Rams will be the team to start the losing skid this time. Arizona gets a much needed win.

Sunday, November 22 4:15 pm New York Jets @ New England Patriots
Line: New England -11 (Total 45)

The Jets (4-5) will head to Foxboro to face the Patriots (6-3) in an AFC east showdown. New York has fallen apart as of late on both sides of the ball and rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez Is well, beginning to look like a rookie. Sanchez is likely to have a much harder time this go-around. The Pats have been on a roll and looked like the best team in the league recently before Bill Belichick’s fourth-down debacle against the Colts on Sunday night. Expect the Pats to take it out on the Jets in this game especially after Rex Ryan’s smack about not kissing Belichick’s rings.

Sunday, November 22 4:15 pm Cincinnati Benglas @ Oakland Raiders
Line: Cincinnati -10 (Total 36)

The Bengals (7-2) are looking good thus far and have managed to work their way to the top of the AFC north. This should be a cakewalk win over the Raiders on Sunday. The Raiders’ (2-7) quarterback situation rivals Cleveland’s for the worst in the league. Maybe even the NCAA. Cincinnati should have this one wrapped up before halftime.

Sunday, November 22 4:15 pm San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos
Line: ++ (Total ++)

The Broncos (6-3) will host the San Diego Chargers (6-3) in what could be the deciding game for the AFC west title. The Chargers suddenly look like a team that can win the tough games and and quarterback Philip Rivers is playing outstanding. Denver, meanwhile, is sliding backwards and could be playing without starting quarterback Kyle Orton. Losing him for even a week or two could be devastiating, especially when the team has lost three consecutive games with Orton. Could this be a repeat of last season, when Denver flopped in the second half and the Chargers came on to win the AFC west. Look for the Chargers to pull off the win at Mile High.

Sunday, November 22 8:20 pm Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears
Line: Philadelphia -3 (Total 45)

The Eagles (5-4) are searching for wins to get them back atop the NFC east. They will be without running back Brian Westbrook for a while and will need to figure out how to advance the ball without him. Chicago’s (4-5) Jay Cutler threw five interceptions in a crucial loss to San Francisco last week. I bet Denver is thinking they made the right decision right about now. The Bears beat the Eagles in Philly in 2007, and will now try to dupicate that win at home. Look for Philly to capitalize on Cutler’s turnovers.

Monday, November 23 8:30 pmTennessee Titans @ Houston Texans
Line: Houston –5 (Total 48)

The Titans (3-6) have slowly turned things around after starting 0-6, and have now won three straight. Tennessee running game has improved and Jeff Fishers decision to finally replace Kerry Collins with Vince Young at quarterbak has paid huge dividends. Young has made excellent decisions with the football and it’s been good enough to lead the Titans to three consectutove wins. The Texans (5-4) are coming off a bye, and have had two weeks preparation to try and find their running game. The defense will have plenty to handle against the Titans. I like Tennesse in this one.

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Matt Martz is a sports writer for the Bakersfield Californian located in Central California. Blessed is the gambler who expects nothing, for ye shall not be disappointed.

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