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2009 NFL MVP Predictions/Preview

2009/2010 Season – NFL Most Valuable Player Odds and Preview

At the end of every season, fifty AP writers sit down and vote for the most valuable player in the NFL. They vote for which player they believe had the biggest impact on their team’s performance that year. In 2008 Peyton Manning ran away with the award with 32 first place votes as he battled back from injury and a slow start to lead his team to an improbable 12-4 record.

Here is a NFL preview along with the odds for the top eight MVP hopefuls for the 2009 season.

Tom Brady +400

Everyone remembers week one of last year when Tom Brady went down with a season ending knee injury. After ten months of grueling rehab, he is back and reportedly 100% ready to go. No matter how good a player you are, it will take some time to get back into playing shape. If Brady can shake of the rust by the first few games of the season, he has a great chance to return to the form that led the Patriots to three Super Bowl titles.

Peyton Manning +600

Peyton has already won this award three times in his eleven year career. While there is some concern over the coaching transition in Indianapolis as the Tony Dungy era has come to a close, the Colts still have enough talent to win it all. If Manning leads this team to an AFC South title, you would have to believe he will once again be right at the top of the voting.

Adrian Peterson +900

Peterson was the Minnesota Viking’s offense last season rushing for a league leading 1760 yards on 363 carries yet he only received 3 first place votes. It makes you wonder what a running back would have to do to win this award. If he can rush for over 2000 yards this season, he might have a chance.

Ben Roethlisberger +1200

While Big Ben did not figure in the MVP picture last season, he did help the Steelers win their sixth Super Bowl title. While his overall stats are not that flashy, he does have a knack for finding ways to win the game. There are just too many other big named quarterbacks out there for him to break through the pack.

Drew Brees +1200

Brees threw for over 5000 yards last season and the Saint’s offense was ranked 1st overall in several categories. His problem was that his team finished the season 8-8 and out of the playoffs. If he can put the same numbers up this season, and the Saints find a way to win 11 or 12 games, he would be my pick for MVP.

Kurt Warner +1400

If a player’s performance in the playoffs was taken into consideration, Warner would have probably received more than one vote for his 2008 effort. The Cardinals unimpressive 9-7 regular season record over shadowed his great season. Unfortunately for Kurt, I think the Cardinals had their day in the sun and will be faced with a big dose of reality in 2009.

Tony Romo +1200

There probably isn’t a quarterback in this league with more pressure on them to win than Tony Romo. This will be Romo’s fourth year as a starter and you get the feeling that Cowboy owner, Jerry Jones’ patience is starting to wear thin. If Romo has a big year and Dallas wins the NFC East, he would be a likely candidate for MVP, but right now that is a very big if.

Donovan McNabb +1400

All the pieces are in place for Donovan McNabb to have a big season in Philly. The main concern with him as been his health as last season was only the fourth time in his ten seasons that he started all 16 games. If he stays healthy, McNabb’s chances to win the MVP are as good as anyone’s.

In all likely hoods, the 2009 MVP will be a quarterback as this position has dominated this award over the years.

2009 NFL MVP Prediction

I look for Drew Brees to break through the pack this season, leading his team to the NFC South title while throwing for over 5000 yards along the way.

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.



  1. Matt Martz says:

    I like Manning at +600. I like the Colts in the divison and look for a solid postseason on the way to a possible Super bowm bid.