NCAA Football Odds: Hoosiers vs Hawkeyes NCAAF Free Picks
Indiana Hoosiers (4-4 SU, 5-2 ATS) at Iowa Hawkeyes (8-0 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Saturday, October 31 – Noon ET
BetUS NCAA Football Betting Odds: IOWA -17.5, Total 47
Here are some of the NCAA football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
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IND has covered five of its last seven games
IND has lost four of its last five games SU
IND has played four of its last six games OVER the total
IND has covered four of its last six road games
IND has covered four of its last 12 road games
IND has lost 11 of its last 12 road games SU
IND has played its last five road games OVER the total
IOWA has covered five of its last seven games
IOWA has won its last 12 games SU 
IOWA has won its last seven home games SU
Also….
IOWA has won four of the last six meetings SU
Five of the last six meetings have gone OVER the total
In watching Indiana’s game last week against Northwestern, the Hoosiers truly looked beautiful for about a quarter and a half. Then they completely folded, and even appeared to quit playing. Northwestern made all the plays they possibly could after that, came back and scored 26 unanswered points after getting off to a 28-3 deficit, and actually could have gotten a cover in the NCAA football odds. Instead, they kicked a late field goal to win. Indiana managed to blow the lead and produce a meltdown without even committing a turnover. In fact, it was Northwestern’s Mike Kafka who actually threw three passes that were picked off. .
Because of last week’s collapse it is completely legitimate to question how well the Hoosiers are going to be able to bounce back in this week’s game, and believe me, we do. However, the state of things with Iowa deserves some examination as well. The Hawkeyes are 8-0, and certainly on track to get to a BCS game, probably the Rose Bowl, provided they can make it to the Big Ten title. They may even have a shot to get to the national title game. Iowa is currently 7th in the Associated Press poll and 8th in the coaches’ poll, but most importantly they are #4 in the BCS poll, which means they will likely be no worse than third if they win out the rest of the way (#1 Florida and #2 Alabama would have to meet in the SEC title game).
That having been said, to get to 8-0 Iowa has had to jump through some hoops. The Hawkeyes rebounded from a 10-3 halftime deficit to beat Wisconsin, then last week put together a last-minute drive that resulted with a winning touchdown with no time remaining to beat Michigan State in the NCAA football odds. In other words, they have spent some effort and emotion, and it might be time for a letdown.
When they are not completely focused, Iowa has had problems, like they did in their opener against Northern Iowa, when they bit their mails off to hold off UNI by a point. Then, on October 3, off a win over Penn State, they let Arkansas State stay in the game all the way and came away with a 24-21 win. Kirk Ferentz’s team has often had problems in this kind of situation, as they have covered just four of their last 17 as a double-digit favorite. Indiana, which would like a little payback after last year’s 45-9 defeat, has the passing attack and pass rush to stay in the game into the fourth quarter. We’ll take the Hoosiers plus the 17.5 points in the BetUS NCAA football odds.
OUR PLAY: INDIANA +17.5 **
