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Ole Miss vs. Alabama Preview/Pick

NCAA Football Betting – Ole Miss Rebels at Alabama Crimson Tide

The Ole Miss Rebels (3-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) apparently were not able to overcome the shock of upsetting Florida. Now, coming off a bye week, they will take to the road in facing the second-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS) in NCAA football action in the SEC, scheduled to get underway at 3:30 PM ET at Bryant-Denny Stadium (natural grass) in Tuscaloosa.

Saturday, October 18
BetUS NCAA Football Betting Odds: ALABAMA -13, Total 49

Here are some of the NCAA football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* MISS has lost 12 of its last 17 games SU
* MISS has covered four of its last five road games
* MISS has lost 14 of its last 16 road games SU
* BAMA has covered five of its last seven games
* BAMA has won its last seven games SU
* BAMA is 3-6-1 ATS in its last ten home games
* BAMA has won four of its last five home games SU

Also….

* MISS has covered four of the last five meetings
* BAMA has won 11 of the last 13 meetings SU
* BAMA has covered four of the last six meetings as the home team
* BAMA has won the last five meetings SU as the home team

You can’t argue too much with what Alabama has been able to accomplish this year. The Crimson Tide achieved its #2 national ranking based on an 11-point win over Georgia, combined with its opening-game win over a Clemson team that was expected to be a national title contender (but has since faded). Last week there was a tight squeeze, a 17-14 win over Kentucky, despite 282 rushing yards. Maybe the Rebels, who have done pretty well against opposition rushing attacks (3.3 ypc allowed), make John Parker Wilson (6 TD’s, 2 INT’s in 127 attempts) go to the air a little more than he would like.

Ole Miss QB Jevan Snead, the transfer from Texas, engineered the upset win over Florida, but overall he hasn’t been consistent (9 TD’s, 9 INT’s). It’s a good thing for the Rebels that Houston Nutt has helped put together a balanced running game, with Brandon Bolden (297 yards), Cordera Eason (248) and Dexter McCluster (215) all chipping in. Truth be told, Mississippi was not able to recover from pulling off that shocker in Gainesville, as they petered out after building a 14-3 lead over Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Three turnovers did the Rebels in, and that has been part of the problem with this team developing consistency (-7 T.O. ratio – and we don’t mean Terrell Owens).

The Tide has not done well carrying points at Bryant-Denny Stadium. In fact, as a home favorite in Tuscaloosa, they have covered just three times in the last 19 outings. And you’d have to look hard to find a series that has been as closely contested than this one in recent years, as the last three encounters have been decided by a field goal. This year, Ole Miss probably has some more offensive capabilities, with Snead at the controls. And they have enough to make this kind of interesting again. That’s why we’ll roll, not with the Tide, but with the Rebs, the 13-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.

Our PLAY: OLE MISS +13 **

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