NCAA Betting Odds – Nevada Wolf Pack at Utah State Aggies
Nevada Wolf Pack (2-3 SU & ATS) at Utah State Aggies (1-4 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Saturday, October 17 – 3 PM ET
BetUS NCAA Betting Odds: NEVADA -8, Total 63.5
Here are some of the NCAAF betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
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NEV has covered two of its last eight games
NEV has lost four of its last six games SU
NEV has played four of its last five games UNDER the total
NEV has lost four of its last six road games SU
NEV has covered one of of its last six road games
UST has lost four of its last five games SU
UST has won four of its last six home games SU
UST has lost 15 of its last 20 home games SU 
NEV has won five of the last six meetings SU
Nevada Wolf Pack leads the nation in rushing offense, averaging 289 yards a game, although that has only translated to a 2-3 record in the NCAA betting odds. Running out of Chris Ault’s Pistol offense, the Wolf Pack has three running backs who are rated in the top 55 nationally – Vai Taua, Luke Lipincott and Colin Kapernick. Taua missed a couple of games but came back to gain 107 yards against Louisiana Tech. Lipincott has 393 yards on just 63 carries. Kaepernick had 173 yards rushing against UNLV and has 384 yards on the year. He also has had five TD’s and no interceptions in the last three games.
The downside to Nevada is that they sport one of the worst turnover ratios in college football; in fact, only Miami of Ohio, who is at minus-17, is lower on the NCAA list, and in the NCAA betting odds, that won’t help much. Nevada also has a leaky defense, especially against the pass, as they’ve allowed nine yards an attempt with just one interception.
That’s the kind of secondary Utah State’s Diondre Borel is going to be working against. Borel, who threw ten interceptions last season, has only one pickoff this year, and he’s doing a reasonable job with his mobility, rushing for 297 gross yards (that doesn’t include sacks) and four touchdowns. What he has at his disposal is the nation’s seventh-leading rusher in Robert Turbin, who’s rambled for 7.2 yards a carry.
Listen, Utah State Aggies under Gary Andersen should not be confused with most of its previous editions, showing a lot more spunk and fighting for 60 minutes on most occasions. But they are often overwhelmed by talent.
Andersen, the former defensive coordinator at Utah, took over the program this year and brought in a lot of junior college talent. Admittedly his stop unit is a work in progress, and has been permissive on the ground, allowing opponents 4.6 yards an attempt and 190 yards a game. That, on the surface, does not look like a good matchup for them against this Nevada team.
We have been disappointed by Nevada as an underdog, as for the most part they just haven’t shown they can compete with the schools in the BCS conferences. In with this level of competition, however, they are much more comfortable. They certainly have the ground machine to exploit any and all matchup advantages, and Kaepernick is more than capable of keeping Utah State honest with his arm. We’re going to lay the points with Nevada, the eight-point favorite in the BetUS NCAA betting odds.
OUR PLAY: NEVADA -8 ***
