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Alabama at Georgia Preview/Pick

NCAA Football Betting – Week 5 matchup between Alabama Crimson Tide and Georgia Bulldogs is previewed and picked…

NCAA Football Betting – Alabama Crimson Tide at Georgia Bulldogs

Two of the top ten teams in the country will lock horns on Saturday in a Southeastern Conference showdown when the Georgia Bulldogs (4-0 SU, 2-0-1 ATS) play host to the Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) in NCAA college football action that is scheduled to kick off at 7:45 PM ET at Sanford Stadium (natural turf) in Athens, GA.

Saturday, September 27

BetUS NCAA Football Betting Odds: GEORGIA -6.5
Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* ALA has covered four of its last five games
* ALA has covered five of its last 15 games
* ALA has won its last five games SU
* ALA has covered eight of its last 12 road games
* ALA has lost four of its last six road games SU
* ALA has played five of its last seven road games UNDER the total
* GA has won its last 11 games SU
* GA is 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven games
* GA has played five of its last six games UNDER the total
* GA has won its last eight home games SU

Also…

* GA has won and covered the last three meetings
* The last three meetings have gone OVER the total

This could be a game that is critical to determining an eventual BCS bid. In the latest coaches’ poll, Alabama comes in at #10 in the country, and the Crimson Tide is #8 in the AP rankings, while Georgia sits at #3 in both polls.

It is never necessarily a picnic to travel across the country and play a team like Arizona State, but Georgia did so and managed to beat the Sun Devils handily, 27-10, last weekend. Matthew Stafford, as usual, was solid but not sensational, completing 16 of 28 passes, and Knowshown Moreno carried the offensive load, rushing for 149 yards (6.5 a pop). But it was the Georgia defense that rose to the occasion. The Bulldogs sacked Rudy Carpenter four times and held him to just 208 passing yards. And Georgia totally snuffed out the run, limiting the Sun Devil running backs to 23 yards on 14 attempts.

Alabama scored a resounding 49-14 win over an Arkansas team that is admittedly a lesser commodity than it was last year. John Parker Wilson did not have a particularly good day, going just 6 of 14 for 74 yards, but the Tide didn’t really need the passing game,. They dominated the line of scrimmage, running for 328 yards. Between Glen Coffee and Roy Upchurch, they picked up 253 yards on an average of 14.9 yards a carry. ‘Bama has its national ranking, and deserves it, on the basis of its very decisive season-opening win over Clemson (34-10).

Both teams have stopped the run pretty well (Alabama at 2.2 ypc, with Georgia at 2 ypc). Both have quarterbacks who have gotten perhaps a little more attention than they deserve, though it must be said that between Stafford and Wilson, they have thrown just one interception in 196 attempts. The sensational Moreno (6.6 ypc, 9 TD’s) is certainly a difference-maker for Georgia, but ‘Bama has already seen the Clemson backfield of Spiller and Davis, so there’s nothing awe-inspiring here. .Besides, Nick Saban’s team is happy to counter with its deep backfield, with three runners in the SEC’s top 15.

Georgia is currently on a 6-0-1 ATS roll, and has won eleven games in a row, but there is little separating these teams, especially since Wilson can now make use of freshman WR Julio Jones (three TD’s in four games) and the Bulldogs don’t have the services of fullback Brannan Southerland, who is out with a foot injury. We’re inclined to grab points here with the Tide, the 6.5-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.

JAY’S PLAY: ALABAMA +6.5 **

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By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"