NCAA Football Picks – Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-0 SU & ATS) at Virginia Tech Hokies (1-1 SU & ATS)
Saturday, September 19 – 3:30 PM ET
NCAA Betting Odds: VIRGINIA TECH -5, Total 51
Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
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NEB has covered five of its last six games 
NEB has won its last six games SU
NEB has covered four of its last 13 road games
NEB has lost six of its last eight road games SU
NEB has played five of its last six road games OVER the total
VT has won five of its last six games SU
VT has won its last ten home games SU
VT has played five of its last seven home games UNDER the total
The report card on Nebraska quarterback Zac Lee is sort of incomplete. Sure, Lee is ranked seventh nationally in passing efficiency, completing 74% of his passes with six touchdowns in two games, but those performances came against the likes of Florida Atlantic and Arkansas State. That is no kind of preparation for what he’ll face in Blacksburg.
At the same time, Virginia Tech was thoroughly dominated on the stat sheet when it moved up in class to play Alabama, out-gained 498-155 by a Tide squad that was playing its first game after replacing stalwart quarterback John Parker Wilson, running back Glen Coffee and offensive tackle Andre Smith.
Sure, it looks like the Hokies, who had lost standout back Darren Evans for the season with an ACL injury, found themselves a rushing game in last week’s 52-10 romp over Marshall. Ryan Williams had 164 yards on the ground and David Wilson added 165 more. However, we still can’t help but be a little suspect of signal-caller Tyrod Taylor, who has not given much indication that he is ready to add a dangerous passing component to his arsenal (18 of 36 thus far). We’re pretty convinced that the Huskers, under the hard-charging Pellini’s tutelage, can hold their own against VT’s infantry, and this may be a time for them to turn Roy Helu Jr. (seven yards a carry) loose to see what he can do.
No, Nebraska hasn’t proven very much yet this year against standup foes, but Pellini has engineered a nice turnaround in Lincoln, with six straight wins going back to last year, including wins over Kansas and Clemson. One of the low moments was a 35-30 home loss to the Hokies, where Taylor was allowed to scamper around a bit and Nebraska was held to 55 net rushing yards. I am expecting Pellini to make adjustments in his defense, and for Taylor to have to win this game with his arm. Can he? Don’t know, but it’s the wiser play to grab points with the emerging Big 12 squad. We’re on the “take” with Nebraska, the five-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.
OUR PLAY: NEBRASKA +5 **
