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NCAA Football

Panthers vs. Bulls Preview/Pick

Oddsmakers currently have the Panthers listed as 10½-point favorites versus the Bulls, while the game’s total is sitting at 44, here is a preview, pick and lines…

College Football Betting – Pittsburgh Panthers at Buffalo Bulls

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BetUS NCAA Football Betting Odds: PITTSBURGH -10, Total 49

Let’s get something out of the way right off – you can’t argue with the job Pittsburgh freshman Dion Lewis did in the opener, filling the shoes of departed running back LeSean McCoy.

Lewis rambled for 129 yards and two touchdowns in the 38-3 win over Youngstown State. Pittsburgh is considered by some involved in football betting to be a front runner for the Big East title (they’d get plenty of argument from a few schools, including Cincinnati, as it turns out), but others think the quarterback play of the decidedly unspectacular Bill Stull will hold them back. Stull completed 57% of his passes and threw for just nine TD’s last season, and he only gained 123 yards through the air last week

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

PITT has won 10 of its last 13 games SU
PITT has covered seven of its last ten road games
PITT has won six of its last eight road games SU
BUFF has covered six of its last eight games
BUFF has won seven of its last nine games SU
BUFF has played eight of its last ten games OVER the total
BUFF has covered one of its last five home games
BUFF has won seven of its last ten home games SU
BUFF has played five of its last six home games OVER the total

The football betting public knows that Buffalo’s football program was left for dead just a few years, which was before Turner Gill arrived on the scene. The former Nebraska quarterback, who turned down an opportunity to go back to his alma mater, first got this team to respectability, then to a conference title that got them to a bowl game. In the process they got the firm respect of the football betting people. And now, as four-year starting QB Drew Willy has graduated, he is smoothly transitioning this team over to Zach Maynard, who had thrown just three passes before this season.

Maynard did not put up big numbers in the opening win over UTEP but was 12 for 19, showed some leadership qualities, and made no mistakes, and that means something in the football betting dynamic. It looks like running back Brandon Thermilius, who had 454 yards last year and 79 against the Miners, may be able to team with Mario Henry and at least partially cushion the blow of being without star ball carrier James Starks, a pro prospect who decided to have surgery to end his senior season and prepare for next year’s combine. Naaman Roosevelt is another pro prospect at wide receiver, and he’ll challenge Pitt’s pair of senior corners.

Football betting fans are aware that Pittsburgh, which was shut out in its bowl appearance against Oregon State last year, has had the look of an under-achiever under coach Dave Wannstedt. Conversely, Buffalo has constantly exceeded expectations under the exacting Gill, and broke a streak of six straight losses in road openers with that win in El Paso. That means that in football betting, the Bulls have now covered ten of their last 11 games as an underdog, so we’re not all that nervous about grabbing double digits at home with Buffalo, the ten-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA betting odds.

OUR PLAY: BUFFALO +10 ***

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By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"