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Aggies vs. Longhorns Preview/Pick

The Texas Longhorns on Thanksgiving day take on traditional rival the Aggies of Texas A&M in Big 12 betting action, scheduled to get underway at 8 PM ET on Thursday at Memorial Stadium in Austin. WE preview and pick this week 14 matchup…

NCAA Thanksgiving Sports Betting – Texas A&M Aggies at Texas Longhorns

The Texas Longhorns (10-1 SU, 8-3 ATS) can sense an opportunity to play for a national title. On Thanksgiving day they’ll have to get by a traditional rival when they take on the Aggies of Texas A&M (4-7 SU & ATS) in NCAA college football sports betting action in the Big 12, scheduled to get underway at 8 PM ET on Thursday at Memorial Stadium (natural turf) in Austin, TX.

Thursday, November 27
BetUS NCAA Football Sports Betting Odds: TEXAS -35.5

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* A&M has covered three of its last nine games
* A&M has lost five of its last seven games SU
* A&M has played six of its last seven games OVER the total
* A&M has lost seven of its last ten road games SU
* A&M has played its last five road games OVER the total
* TEX has covered nine of its last 12 games
* TEX has played four of its last six games OVER the total
* TEX has covered five of its last seven home games
* TEX has won its last eight home games SU

Also….

* TEX has won six of the last eight meetings SU
* TEX has won five of the last six meetings SU as the home team

Texas, which is rated #2 in the BCS standings, smells blood right now. The Longhorns have an opportunity to play for the national title if they win out. They’re also #4 in both the Associated Press and Coaches’ polls, so at the same time they are vulnerable. That adds up to quite a bit of incentive for an impressive performance in this game. But that BCS ranking gives them the inside track for a berth in the Big 12 title game.

Colt McCoy has been outstanding, and still looms as a favorite for the Heisman Trophy. McCoy has gained 3134 yards through the air, and 527 more on the ground, with 30 touchdown passes. Meanwhile, A&M has had a rough transition over to the West Coast offense that Mike Sherman installed when he assumed the head coaching role. Stephen McGee, the incumbent starting quarterback, lost his job to strong-armed junior Jerrod Johnson. Sherman has not used his running backs very well, namely Jarvorskie Lane (83 yards), who has been used as a blocker more than anything.

There have been some embarrassing results for the Aggies. They lost to Arkansas State, beat Army by only a 21-17 score, lost 44-30 to Kansas State and gave up 66 points in defeat to Oklahoma. Texas A&M is only 113th nationally in total defense. Texas gave up 57 points over the first five games of the year, and then 30 points three times, before stiffening up against Kansas in the 35-7 win.

This is a double revenge game for Texas. They have lost by scores of 12-7 and 38-30 the last two seasons in this bitter rivalry. Last year the Aggies banged out 533 yards, including 171 on the ground. Can they do that again?

Johnson has been up and down, for sure. He’s under 50% with six interceptions over the last couple of games. But he does have 20 TD passes on the season, and Mike Goodson, who’s had only 33 rushing yards in his last three games, may be finding a home catching the ball (325 yards with three TD’s; 50-yarder last time out). The Aggies have given up three sacks a game, and Texas is tied for the national lead in getting to the quarterback, but this is a line that is bloated due to the circumstances surrounding the ‘Horns. The back door is open.

We’ll grab considerable points in a small play. That means taking Texas A&M plus 35.5 points in the BetUS Sportsbook NCAA college football betting odds.

Our PLAY: TEXAS A&M +35.5 *

By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"