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Jayhawks vs. Tigers Preview/Pick

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Missouri Tigers (@ Kansas City)

The Missouri Tigers (9-2 SU, 5-5 ATS), who are already in the Big 12 title game, will close out the regular season with a game against the Kansas Jayhawks (6-5 SU, 5-5 ATS) in NCAA college football sports betting action that is slated to kick off at 12:30 PM ET at Arrowhead Stadium (natural turf) in Kansas City, MO.

BetUS NCAA Football Sports Betting Odds: MISSOURI -16, Total 69

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* KAN has won 18 of its last 24 games SU
* KAN has lost four of its last five games SU
* KAN has played four of its last five games OVER the total
* MIZZ has covered two of its last six games
* MIZZ has won 16 of its last 19 games SU
* MIZZ has played four of its last six games UNDER the total

Also…

* Four of the last six meetings have gone UNDER the total

It is interesting to note that Missouri has already clinched a berth in the Big 12 title game. It is doubtful that it will dull Mizzou’s concentration in this neutral site contest, while Texas, Texas Tech and Oklahoma are all vying to play against them.

Heisman Trophy talk about Chase Daniel has subsided, but the senior’s stats are still eye-opening. Daniel has completed 76.5% with 30 touchdowns, and he has also gotten it downfield, with nine yards an attempt. He is stil one of the best quarterbacks in the country, although he may not be on the All-Conference first, second or third team because of the glut of outstanding signal-callers in the Big 12.

Todd Reesing has good stats too (64.8%, 24 TD’s, 10 INT’s), but he’s just 50% in his last two games, and his top target, converted quarterback Kerry Meier, who had 53 catches in his first six games, has made only 20 catches in his last five, and is dealing with a hamstring injury.

Ordinarily, Jake Sharp could be counted on to run well enough to keep Missouri’s defense honest. He gained just 11 yards against Texas, but had 472 yards prior to that. However, he’s been banged up, hasn’t practiced in two weeks and will probably be kept out of this game. This is a problem for a team without a lot of depth at the running back position.

Admittedly, Kansas has failed when stepping up in competition. The defense has allowed 28.8 points per game, and against the Big 12’s “Big Three” – Oklahoma, Texas and Texas Tech, the Jayhawks have yielded 47.7 points per contest. South Florida hung 37 on them. Nebraska scored 45. KU is 114th in pass defense, surrendering 274 yards a game. Missouri is 111th, but with more support around him, it’s “advantage Daniel.”

After all, running back Derrick Washington has 909 yards. Wide receiver Jeremy Maclin (79 catches for 1052 yards) is one of the most explosive players in the country. All-America tight end Chase Coffman (73 receptions) is back after sitting out two games with a toe injury.

There’s some killer instinct in Mizzou, which has hit the 50-mark six times. We’ll lay the points with the Tigers, the 16-point favorite in the BetUS NCAA college football odds.

Our PLAY: MISSOURI -16 **

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