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NCAA Football

Week 13: UNC vs. N.C. State Preview/Pick

Oddsmakers currently have the Tar Heels listed as 6-point favorites versus the Wolfpack, while the game’s total is sitting at 49½, here is a preview for the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack matchup plus a pick and lines betting angle…

NCAA Football Betting Odds – North Carolina vs. NC State

North Carolina Tar Heels (8-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) at North Carolina State Wolfpack (4-7 SU, 3-6 ATS)
Saturday, November 28 – Noon ET
BetUS NCAA Betting Odds: NORTH CAROLINA -5.5

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Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

NC has covered four of its last five games
NC has won five of its last six games SU
NC has won four of its last five road games SU
NC has lost 16 of its last 23 road games SU
NC has played five of its last seven road games UNDER the total
NCST has covered two of its last seven games
NCST has lost six of its last seven games SU
NCST has played seven of its last eight games OVER the total
NCST has won four of its last six home games SU

Also….

NC has covered nine of the last 13 meetings
Four of the last five meetings have gone OVER the total
NC has covered five of the last six meetings as the road team
NC has won five of the last seven meetings SU as the road team

North Carolina has momentum coming in. The Heels are riding a four-game win streak (all of which they covered in the NCAA betting odds), which includes victories against Virginia Tech and Miami. It might be the right time for them to capitalize against NC State’s quarterback.

Russell Wilson has proven to be a little more mistake-prone as the season has progressed. He’s thrown eleven interceptions in his last seven games after throwing just one previously in his college career.

North Carolina State has yielded just shy of 40 points a game over the last eight games, and some of the teams that have moved the ball against them are not known for potent offense. That includes teams like Maryland and Boston College, not to mention Wake Forest. This lack of potency on the defensive side has contributed to the team’s 3-6 record in the NCAA betting odds.

Last year’s meeting had to be absolutely gut-wrenching for Butch Davis’ North Carolina team, as they were outgained by an absurd 41-10 margin in being thrashed by a 41-10 score. This would seem like a big revenge special, but we’re a little hesitant because of North Carolina’s ability to put together a consistent offense. They’re ranked 113th in the country in yards per game, and that is probably a pretty accurate reflection of what they’ve been capable of doing.

Quarterback TJ Yates has thrown 13 interceptions to go with his 10 TD’s, and he just doesn’t have the kind of receiving talent at his disposal as he had last year, with the likes of Hakeem Nicks and Brandon Tate (for as long as he was healthy).

While we can’t make this a top recommendation, we certainly move toward the North Carolina side, since the Wolfpack has found a way to lose touch with quite a few opponents lately (dropping four of the last six by at least 20 points).

If we’re going to be looking to one of these sides to make the extra stop or two, we prefer the Tar Heels’ speedy stop unit, which has logged 19 interceptions, allowed just six TD passes and ranks fifth overall in the country.

We’re laying the points with North Carolina, the 5.5-point favorite in the BetUS NCAAF betting odds.

OUR PLAY: NORTH CAROLINA -5.5 **

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By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"