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NCAA Football

Week 13: BC vs Maryland Preview/Pick

The Boston College Eagles and the Maryland Terrapins will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Byrd Stadium. Oddsmakers currently have the Eagles listed as 6-point favorites versus the Terrapins, while the game’s total is sitting at 44…

NCAA Football Odds – Boston College (-6) vs. Maryland

NCAA Football Odds
Boston College Eagles (7-4 SU, 6-4 ATS) at Maryland Terrapins (2-9 SU, 3-6-1 ATS)
Saturday, November 28 – 3:30 PM ET

BetUS NCAA Football Odds: BOSTON COLLEGE -6

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

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BC has won 15 of its last 23 games SU
BC has covered one of its last six road games
BC has lost five of its last six road games SU
BC has played four of its last five road games UNDER the total
MD is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five games
MD has lost its last six games SU
MD has played four of its last five games UNDER the total
MD has covered one of its last five home games
MD has won ten of its last 15 home games SU
MD has lost four of its last five home games SU
MD has played four of its last five home games UNDER the total

I think what we’ve wanted to watch out carefully for was how Boston College progressed as they started to play more road games. That’s because the first two times as the visitor, the Eagles gained a COMBINED 217 yards in dropping both games in the NCAA football odds. If you’re figuring that’s like, mathematically impossible, well it isn’t. In that second road trip against Virginia Tech, Dave Shinskie, the quarterback who had previously been a minor league baseball player, completed just one of 12 passes. Against Notre Dame, BC had 349 yards and when they visited Virginia they had 303.

Shinskie’s made something of a comeback after that disaster in Blacksburg, though his numbers aren’t stellar. Since the Virginia Tech game, Shinskie has hit on about 50% of his throws, with six TD’s and nine interceptions, so it is far from an automatic that he’ll be able to fully exploit a Maryland secondary that has yielded over eight yards a pass attempt. When Shinskie goes bad, he goes VERY bad. In fact, he threw four interceptions against the quick North Carolina defense last week, two of which were brought back all the way for touchdowns. He’ll likely need for Montel Harris, who’s racked up 721 in his last five games, to continue on that roll.

We really don’t know how to grade out Jamarr Robinson, who was 20 of 27 for 214 yards in the near-miss against Florida State last week on the heels of a 12-for-32 non-effort against the Hokies. Robinson gets it going on the ground, with 187 yards in the two games he’s been a starter. He is now joined by Da’Rel Scott, who had 83 yards last week as he came back from an injury.

Maryland has six straight losses, so it’s hard to spin a positive story about them, but we will offer that the Terps did score a home win against Clemson earlier in the season, and that we simply don’t trust Boston College on the road. We’re going to take the points with the Terrapins, the six-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA football odds.

OUR PLAY: MARYLAND +6 *

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By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"