NCAAF Week 12 Betting – Texas Longhorns at Kansas Jayhawks
The Texas Longhorns (9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS) were able to bounce back last week after blowing their #1 ranking. On Saturday they will face off against the Kansas Jayhawks (6-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) in NCAA college football sports betting action in the Big 12 Conference, beginning at 12:30 PM ET at Memorial Stadium (artificial turf) in Lawrence, KS.
Saturday, November 15
BetUS Sportsbook NCAA Football Betting Odds: TEXAS -13.5, Total 68
Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* TEX has covered eight of its last 11 games
* TEX has won 10 of its last 11 games SU
* TEX has played four of its last five games OVER the total
* TEX has covered four of its last five road games
* TEX has won 20 of its last 23 road games SU
* TEX has played 16 of its last 20 road games OVER the total
* KAN has won 18 of its last 23 games SU
* KAN has played five of its last six games OVER the total
* KAN has won 14 of its last 16 home games SU
Also…
* TEX has covered five of the last six meetings
* TEX has won the last six meetings SU
Kansas, during its stellar 12-1 season last year, was able to avoid playing Texas, among others. In fact, these teams haven’t met since 2005, when Texas gained 617 yards en route to a 66-14 blowout.
Colt McCoy, I suppose is still in the Heisman discussion, though Graham Harrell has stolen his thunder a little. McCoy has completed 78% of his passes with 28 TD’s and seven interceptions and ranks fourth in the country in passing efficiency. In last week’s win over Baylor, in which Texas rebounded from the gut-wrenching loss to Texas Tech, McCoy had 300 yards and five TD passes. His counterpart, Todd Reesing, has 23 touchdown passes.
We know that Kansas has some holes in its defense, but it’s not that Texas hasn’t sprung any leaks. The Longhorns allowed just 57 points in their first five games of the season, but have yielded 30 points a game over their last five. They do have 34 sacks on the year (with future first-rounder Brian Arakpo leading the way), but Reesing is very good at getting rid of the ball quickly.
Kansas hasn’t done all that well when moving up in class, losing by three points to South Florida, and 63-21 to Texas Tech. But they came through the back door against Oklahoma, dropping a 45-31 decision in which they covered. Kerry Meier has slowed down a bit, with just 16 catches in the last four games. But running back Jake Sharp has emerged as a threat, with 572 yards in the last five games.
Can he help Mark Mangino’s team move the chains enough?
Texas has shown itself to be strong against the run (86 yards a game allowed), but they don’t run incredibly well themselves. McCoy threw two interceptions last week, and Kansas, playing at home, will probably be throwing punches to the end. We’ll grab the points with the Jayhawks, the 13.5-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.
