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NCAA Football

Week 11: Cornhuskers vs. Jayhawks Preview/Pick

Oddsmakers currently have the Cornhuskers listed as 4-point favorites versus the Jayhawks, while the game’s total is sitting at 43, here is a preview for the Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Kansas Jayhawks plus a pick and lines betting angle…

NCAA Betting Odds: Nebraska vs Kansas

Nebraska Cornhuskers (6-3 SU & ATS) at Kansas Jayhawks (5-4 SU, 2-6 ATS)

Saturday, November 14 – 3:30 PM ET
University of Kansas Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, KS

BetUS NCAA Betting Odds: NEBRASKA -4, Total 43

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

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NEB has covered seven of its last ten games
NEB has won 10 of its last 13 games SU
NEB has played its last five games UNDER the total
NEB has covered five of its last seven road games
NEB has won four of its last six road games SU
NEB has played four of its last six road games UNDER the total
KAN has lost its last four games SU
KAN is 0-6 ATS in its last six games
KAN has won five of its last six home games SU

Also….

KAN has covered four of the last five meetings
NEB has won 12 of the last 14 meetings SU
Four of the last five meetings have gone OVER the total
NEB has won five of the last seven meetings SU as the road team

Things have gotten bad for the Kansas Jayhawks. Mark Mangino’s team has experienced something of a free fall, dropping four straight games, and six straight in the NCAA betting odds. last week they were embarrassed by in-state rival Kansas State, able to gain only 60 yards on the ground in a 17-10 defeat. Todd Reesing has thrown only two TD passes and four interceptions in his last three games, and after back-to-back 400-yard efforts against Iowa State and Colorado, he’s thrown for 224, 181 and 241 in those last three. He’s been sacked 16 times in the last four games.

At home this has not been a bad team, however. The Jayhawks did lose 35-13 to Oklahoma as Reesing turned it over three times, but they also scored wins over UTEP, Duke, Iowa State and Southern Miss in Lawrence. No, that doesn’t prepare them for what they will face in this Cornhusker bunch, but it does show that they haven’t laid down in front of home fans.

Nebraska has a dominant defensive unit, and that much can’t be denied. The Huskers have limited opponents to just 2.7 yards per rush, and they are the second-ranked unit in terms of defending the pass, allowing just 50% completions and three TD passes. This would seem a bad time for Reesing and the Jayhawks to be lacing ’em up against them.

Still, I am really worried about Nebraska’s offense. This team but the clamps on Oklahoma’s freshman quarterback Landry Jones last week and had the benefit of five interceptions, yet could only score ten points. Neither Zac Lee (five for nine, 35 yards) nor Cody Green (two for five, four yards) did anything for them, and they could only manage 180 total yards from scrimmage. This team has had those kinds of problems for a while now; they just can’t execute, and that makes it difficult to pull away from teams, especially as a road favorite in the NCAA betting odds.

I don’t trust Nebraska to be able to produce points unless it’s on defense. I also have a lot of respect for Reesing, who has been a consistent producer his whole collegiate career, his receivers, and coach Mark Mangino. If there is a week to bounce back, this is it. We’re taking the points with Kansas, the four-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA football betting odds, and we’re looking to “Rock Chalk, Jayhawk.”

OUR PLAY: KANSAS +4 ***

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By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"