NCAAF Week 11 Weekend War – Georgia Bulldogs at Kentucky Wildcats
The Georgia Bulldogs (7-2 SU, 3-3-2 ATS) are smarting – a lot – after last week’s defeat. On Saturday they will try to put the ship back on course as they visit the Kentucky Wildcats (6-3 SU, 3-5 ATS) in NCAA college football sports betting action in the Southeastern Conference, scheduled to get underway at 1 PM ET at Commonwealth Stadium (natural turf) in Lexington, KY.
Saturday, November 8
BetUS NCAA Football Betting Odds: GEORGIA -10
Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* GA is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five games
* GA has won 14 of its last 16 games SU
* GA is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five road games
* GA has won its last six road games SU
* GA has played 14 of its last 19 road games UNDER the total
* KY has covered one of its last five games
* KY has won seven of its last ten games SU
* KY has played five of its last seven games UNDER the total
* KY has won five of its last six home games SU
Also…
* GA has covered five of the last six meetings
* GA has won 10 of the last 11 meetings SU
* GA has won four of the last five meetings SU as the road team
Both these teams have taken turns getting humiliated by Florida. Two weeks ago Kentucky was routed by a 63-5 count, giving up 446 yards in the process. Georgia took it on the chin last week from a Gator team that was hell-bent on revenge, as the Bulldogs, despite outgaining Florida by 25 yards, went down to 49-10 defeat.
Kentucky was able to rebound with a 14-13 squeaker over Mississippi State last week, but you would excuse Georgia if it came out hopping mad for this one, especially when you consider they have gone over 40 points three times on the season.
Sure, the Bulldogs have allowed 87 points in the last two weeks, but we have serious doubts as to whether Kentucky can trade points, even on a Georgia off-day. Quarterback Mike Hartline has thrown for just 123 yards in the last two weeks, and has just 5.1 yards per pass on the season. He’s lost his best offensive weapon, wide receiver Dickie Lyons. Kentucky’s rushing game has produced a so-so 3.9 yards a carry, and it obviously hasn’t helped that Derrick Locke is gone for the season.
Knowshown Moreno was slowed by the Gators (65 yards), but his club was out of the game shortly after the start of the second half. Maybe here he’s back to the form that yielded 436 yards the previous three weeks? Matthew Stafford needs to keep his mistakes down (seven interceptions in the last four games), but he still gives Mark Richt’s team a big edge at that position.
You have to go into this with your eyes open, recognizing that Kentucky has held seven of its last nine opponents to 20 points or less. But can this team, which has produced only 14 ppg over its last five, register enough against a fired-up Georgia crew, which has won six straight on the road, to beat a number that seems reasonable? We’ll take a chance and lay the points with Georgia, the ten-point favorite in the BetUS NCAA college football sports betting odds.
