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Cornhuskers vs. Sooners Preview/Pick

NCAA Football Sports Betting – Nebraska Cornhuskers at Oklahoma Sooners

A great traditional rivalry renews itself on Saturday when the Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) visit the Oklahoma Sooners (7-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) in NCAA college football action in the Big 12 Conference, beginning at 8 PM ET at Memorial Stadium (natural turf) in Norman, OK.

Saturday, November 1  BetUS NCAA Football Odds: OKLAHOMA -22

Here are some of the NCAA college football sports betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* NEB has covered six of its last 19 games
* NEB is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 road games
* NEB has lost five of its last six road games SU
* NEB has played six of its last nine road games UNDER the total
* OKLA has covered five of its last seven games
* OKLA has won seven if its last eight games SU
* OKLA has played six of its last seven games OVER the total
* OKLA has won 22 of its last 25 home games SU
* OKLA has won four of the last five meetings SU

Nebraska’s Joe Ganz is a gunslinger, to be sure. When he took over the #1 QB role in Lincoln in place of the injured Sam Keller last season, Ganz threw for 405, 510 and 484 yards, and 15 TD’s, in his three starts. It hasn’t been quite as spectacular as that in the 2008 season, but Ganz absolutely has the capacity to get the ball down the field, with six games in which he has thrown for 250 yards or more. Ganz, who had seven interceptions in 152 throws last year, seems to have worked on that aspect of his game, as he has tossed just six picks (in 270 passes) thus far.

We mention all this because with this kind of an impost, it is going to be imperative that Ganz be able to play with abandon, and play effectively, in order to keep the “back door” open against the Sooners, who have as productive an offensive arsenal as exists in the country. Sam Bradford would appear to be as good as it gets – third in the nation in passing efficiency, with 29 TD’s, just five INT’s, 10.3 yards an attempt and a 68% completion rate. His team is second in the nation in scoring (48.3 ppg). Few teams match his wide receiver corps. And the running game is more than serviceable (Chris Brown had 142 yards last week against Kansas State, which is a nice bonus).

Oklahoma has all of a sudden showing some defensive vulnerability, allowing 45, 31 and 35 points the last three weeks. And not coincidentally, they were, for a change, opposed by capable quarterbacks in those games (Colt McCoy, Todd Reesing, Josh Freeman). Ganz is in that class, having completed 70% of his passes while still getting the ball down the field. Sure, we know that Oklahoma had 55 points in the FIRST HALF against Kansas State last week. But Nebraska is more capable on the defensive side than K-State, and in fact, while “stout” might not be the most accurate description, they have made some strides under new coach Bo Pellini and his staff. Enough, in fact, to grab the 22 points in the BetUS NCAA college football sports betting odds and look for the back door cover.



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