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NCAA Football

Week 10: Knights vs. Longhorns Preview/Pick

Oddsmakers currently have the Longhorns listed as 35-point favorites versus the Knights, while the game’s total is sitting at 48, here is a preview for the Central Florida Knights vs. Texas Longhorns plus a pick and lines betting angle…

College Football Betting Lines – Central Florida vs. #2 Texas

Central Florida Knights (5-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) at Texas Longhorns (8-0 SU, 3-4-1 ATS)
Saturday, November 7 – Noon ET
BetUS NCAA College Football Betting Lines: TEXAS -36.5, Total 48

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

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UCF has covered five of its last seven games
UCF has won four of its last six games SU
UCF has played five of its last seven games UNDER the total
UCF has covered its last five road games
UCF has lost seven of its last ten road games SU
TEX has covered three of its last nine games
TEX has played eight of its last 11 games UNDER the total
TEX has covered one of its last six home games
TEX has won its last 13 home games SU
TEX has played five of its last seven home games UNDER the total

One would imagine only overconfidence can beat Texas here. Does anybody remember when Central Florida Knights gave mighty Texas all it could handle in Orlando, before the Longhorns escaped with a 35-31 victory? That was back in 2007, and two years later, UCF is struggling to get bowl-eligible, and with games against UAB and Tulane on tap, that might just happen for this 5-3 club.

UCF had a truly horrid offense last season, and they have improved this year, though they still rank just 98th overall (327 yards a game). Quarterback Brett Hodges has completed just 50% of his passes the last two weeks, and over a third of Brynn Harvey’s 632 yards rushing came in one game (against Memphis). This is not a couple of years ago, when Central Florida had 2000-yard rusher Kevin Smith in their backfield. No, they’re not so lucky this time.

UCF is coached by George O’Leary, who came to Orlando from Minnesota, where he was an assistant coach with the Vikings. Before that, of course, he was hired as head coach at Notre Dame, and was dismissed after it was uncovered that he had lied on his resume in his application for the job. Obviously he’s boosted his real resume a bit since then.

QB Colt McCoy hasn’t really ramped up his numbers since the disappointing effort against Oklahoma, having thrown for just 171 yards against Oklahoma State, but Texas got the benefit of four interceptions of Zac Robinson to pull off a 41-14 win in the college football betting lines. Texas, which ranks first in scoring offense and rushing defense, could put a stranglehold on UCF’s running game and would probably not hesitate to run up the score at this point.

The polls are going to be important for Texas Longhorns, as there are other undefeated teams like Alabama and Iowa jockeying for position in the BCS rankings. So they may be in the mood to run things up. Can they? We think so, especially in Austin. In a small recommendation, we’ll lay the points with Texas, the 36.5-point favorite in the BetUS college football betting lines.

OUR PLAY: TEXAS -36.5 *

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By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"