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West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Texas Longhorns CFB Preview & Free Pick

West Virginia vs Texas Odds & Prediction

This sweet Big 12 match up pits Texas (4-0) and their solid defense against West Virginia (4-0) and their offense that has scored the 3rd most points in the nation.

Venue/ Stadium: Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, AUSTIN, TX
Time/Date: 7 PM EST Saturday, October 6, 2012
NCAAF Odds From GTBets.eu
Moneyline: West Virginia +220 / Texas -260
Spread: Texas -6.5
Over/Under:  75

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No. 8 West Virginia Mountaineers vs. No. 11 Texas Longhorns Preview

The Mountaineers passing offense is the top ranked unit in the nation led by Heisman favorite Gino Smith, who had a sick game last week passing for a whopping 656 yards with 8 TD and 0 INT. NCAAF lines have Texas as the 6.5-point home favorite with a high total of 75.

In their last games Texas beat Oklahoma State 41-46 in a shootout and in a MAJOR shootout West Virginia beat Baylor 70-63.

On the season West Virginia is only 1-3 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 2-1 and Texas is 3-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-2.

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The big question in this game is can Texas stop Smith and the nation’s top ranked passing offense and the WVU WR duo of Stedman Bailey and Tavon Austin, who have totaled 298.8 yards per game and combining for 17 TD? Big question. The Longhorns’ pass defense ranks 43rd in the nation, but they did give up over 300 yards in the air in last weeks win over Oklahoma State. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

After 2 good games WVU RB Andrew Buie has not averaged over 4 yards per carry in his last couple of games and he may have a chance to get back on track since the Longhorns’ run defense only ranks 86th in the nation.

David Ash has been solid under center for UT and he has the 2nd highest passer rating in the Big 12 behind Smith. He has a good WR corps and there is a good chance he will find them facing a weak WVU pass defense. However, the pass rush of the Mountaineers is solid and they need to pressure Ash in this conference match up.

The WVU run defense is solid ranking 38th in the nation and they will be facing a couple of Texas RB’s that each has over 240 rushing yards on the season.

Smith may have a big game, but the Longhorns need to avoid giving up big plays and UT CB recently stated, “It is frustrating to give up so many points and big plays.”

In some betting trends for this Big 12 match up West Virginia is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win, and they have an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 road games.

Texas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and they have an Over record of 7-2 in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.

Jason’s Pick: WVU has the Heisman front-runner under center, but Texas has a solid team and they are much better than Baylor, who the Mountaineers narrowly beat. Take Texas to win this game and cover the spread.


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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.