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Virginia Cavaliers vs. TCU Horned Frogs CFB Preview & Free Pick

Virginia vs TCU Odds & Prediction

TCU (2-0) already has a Big 12 win under their belt with their first year in the conference and this Saturday they face another team from a big conference in Virginia (2-1) of the ACC. T

Virginia Cavaliers vs. No 16 TCU Horned Frogs
Venue/ Stadium: Amon Carter Stadium, FORT WORTH, TX
Time/Date: 12 PM PM EST Saturday, September 22, 2012
NCAAF Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: -17
Over/Under:  53.5

Matchup | Preview 

Virginia Cavaliers vs. No 16 TCU Horned Frogs Preview

The Cavaliers got off to a good start winning their first 2 games before getting smoked in their last game. NCAAF Lines have TCU as a big 17-point home favorite with a total of 53.5.

TCU has yet to play a ranked team and they do not face a ranked team until November when they being a run facing 4 teams in a row that are in the top 25.

In their last games TCU rode their defense to a 20-6 win over Kansas and Virginia lost to Georgia Tech 56-20.

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On the season Virginia is 0-2-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-1 and TCU is 1-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 0-1.

Casey Pachall leads the TCU offense and while he did pass for 335 yards last week against Kansas he had 3 fumbles deep in Kansas territory. He has 2 big play WR’s and will be facing a solid Virginia defense that ranks 39th in the nation.

While Virginia is solid defending the run, but they only rank 101st in the nation in defending the run and they gave up 461 rushing yards last week in the bad loss to Georgia Tech. However, they will not have to face TCU leading RB Waymon James, who is out for the season with a knee injury. Still, Matthew Tucker has rushed for 100 yards this season and if Virginia played run D like they did last week the Cavs’ offense will have to light up the scoreboard to win.

Virginia is a, pretty much, one-dimensional team on offense, as they have a legit passing offense ranking 33rd in the nation, but only 109th in the nation in rushing yards per game.  [soliloquy id=”82219″]

QB Michael Rocco struggled last week and was pulled late in the game, but he will get the start in this game. WR Darius Jennings and TE Jake McGee arte his 2 main targets and each is averaging over 13 yards per catch.

RB’s Kevin Parks and Khalek Shepherd have combined for over 200 rushing yards this season and they need to help Rocco out so the TCU D does not just play the pass. Either way the Horned Frogs have a great defense ranking 10th in the nation in run defense and 17th in pass defense.

In some betting trends for this non-conference game Virginia is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Under record of 10-3 in their last 13 games.

TCU is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and they have an Over record of 7-2 in their last 9 games.

Jason’s Pick: Even without their leading rusher TCU will have no problem winning this game and like last week they will ride their defense and they will not only win, but they will cover the big spread as well.

By Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.