Texas vs Texas Tech Odds & Prediction
Texas Tech (6-2) has lost 4 straight to Texas (6-2), but Texas has lost 9 straight games facing ranked opponents. So, something has got to give in this game and the loser of this Big 12 match up is definitely out of the BCS picture while the winner keeps their slight BCS hopes alive.
Venue/ Stadium: Jones AT&T Stadium, LUBBOCK, TX
Time/Date: 3:30 PM EST Saturday, November 3, 2012
NFL Odds From: Sportsbook.ag
Moneyline: Texas +250 / Texas Tech -300
Spread: Texas Tech -7.5
Over/Under: 67
ATS Matchup Stats | Gambling Insight! | Buy Ray’s Picks!
No. 23 Texas Longhorns vs. No. 18 Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview
NCAAF lines have Texas Tech as a 7.5-point home favorite with a total of 67.
In their last games Texas did not look good, but still beat Kansas 21-17 while Texas Tech was schooled getting crushed by Kansas State 55-24.
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This season Texas is 3-5 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-3 and Texas Tech is at 6-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-3.
Tech QB Seth Doege leads the nation’s 3rd ranked passing offense and the Red Raiders have one of the deepest WR corps in the country with 5 players with at least 200 receiving yards. Even in the loss to Kansas State Doege passed for over 330 yards and he will be facing a Texas pass defense that ranks 56th in the nation.
Tech has a decent rushing offense led by RB Kenny Williams (504 yards 3 TD), who is averaging over 6 yards per carry. The Red Raiders are obviously led by the passing attack, but they may want to hit the ground against Texas since they only rank 108th in the nation in run defense. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
David Ash struggled against Kansas and was replaced by Case McCoy, but Ash will get the start in this game. WR Mike Davis is averaging 16.4 yards per catch and Tech gave up 233 passing yards in the Kansas State loss and their pass D ranks 30th in the nation.
Texas RB Johnathan Gray had a solid game in the win over Kansas racking up 111 rushing yards, which was a season high. He has to be a concern for the Red Raiders and their 27th ranked run defense since they gave up 233 yards to Kansas State. The Red Raiders have given up a total of 377 rushing yards in their last 2 games.
In some betting trends for this Big 12 game Texas is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Texas Tech is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and they have an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Jason’s Pick: In the last 7 games between these 2 rivals the home team has covered and that trend will continue. Texas Tech will lay on the offense and they will win this game and cover the spread in a shootout.
