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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Mississippi St. Bulldogs CFB Preview & Free Pick

Tennessee vs Mississippi St. Odds & Prediction

Mississippi State (5-0) is off to a great start and they are ranked, but they have yet to beat a very good team and that will change this Saturday when they host Tennessee (3-2).

Venue/ Stadium: Davis Wade Stadium, STARKVILLE, MS
Time/Date: 9 PM EST Saturday October 13, 2012
NCAAF Odds From: GTBets.eu
Moneyline: Tenn+125 / MSU -145
Spread: MSU -2.5
Over/Under:  57.5

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Tennessee Volunteers vs. No. 19 Mississippi State Bulldogs Preview

The Volunteers have lost 2 games and are 0-2 in SEC play, but both of their losses have come to ranked teams in Florida and Georgia. NCAAF lines have MSU as 2.5-point home favorites with a total of 57.5.

In their last games MSU beat Kentucky 27-14 while Tennessee lost a 51-44 barnburner to Georgia.

On the season Tennessee is 2-3 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-0 and MSU is 3-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 0-4.

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The Volunteers should be well rested in this game since they are coming off a bye week.

This game is all about MSU and their 11th ranked defense facing Tennessee and their 10th ranked passing attack. QB Tyler Bray, who has passed for 14 TD with 6 INT, leads UT and while he had 281 passing yards and 2 TD against Georgia he had 3 picks. He has a great WR corps with his 2 leading receivers averaging over 13 yards per catch and they will facing a MSU pass defense that ranks 31st in the nation.

MSU’s run defense ranks 40th in the nation and their main goal is to contain Rajion Neal, who has rushed for over 100 yards in each of his last 2 games. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

MSU’s offense has a legit rushing attack and that is not a good thing for the Volunteers, who gave up over 600 yards in the losses to Georgia and Florida and has the nation’s 86th ranked run defense. They have a tall task in this game against MSU RB LaDarius Perkins, who is averaging over 6 yards per carry and rushed for 110 yards in his last game.

UT also does not have a good pass D ranking 73rd in the nation and MSU QB Tyler Russell was solid in his last game passing for 269 yards with 2 TD and 0 INT. WR Chad Bumphis is his main target and is averaging nearly 18 yards per catch.

Tennessee has lost 19 of their last 20 games, including 13 straight, facing ranked teams.

In some betting trends for this SEC match up Tennessee is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 1-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.

MSU is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 in their last 7 SEC games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games, and they have an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 home games.

Jason’s Pick: MSU has a solid defense, but I think Tennessee is a much better team and with their offense they will win this away game and snap their losing streak against ranked opponents.

By Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.