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NCAA Football

Seminoles vs. Blue Devils Gambling Prediction & ACC Title Game Preview

FSU vs Duke College Football Spread/Handicapping

There are some unlikely teams playing in conference championship games this weekend but I think the least likely of them all has to be Duke. Now nobody is giving them much of a chance to beat the top ranked Florida Seminoles but you can not say that the Blue Devils didn’t earn this spot.

ACC Championship Game
Florida State Seminoles (12-0) vs. Duke Blue Devils (10-2)
Saturday December 7
Bank of America Stadium – Charlotte, NC
8:00PM
Moneyline: No moneyline currently listed
Spread: Florida State 29.5
O/U: 62.5

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I just hope that Florida State doesn’t crush them too badly and kill the good vibes they have going for them.

Florida State

The concerns about QB Jameis Winston not being available due to criminal charges are over so now the Seminoles can just focus on beating up the surprising Blue Devils. Florida State has been laying waste to the ACC this year and as you can see by the spread there is not much though that the ACC Championship will be all that different.

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Thanks to an 80 point performance against Idaho a couple of weeks ago the Seminoles now have the second highest scoring offense in the nation at 53ppg. Match that with the top defense in points allowed at 11ppg and you can see how this could be another rout.
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Winston is the key and so far no team has had much success in defending him. This is his first year at the helm and only one time has he thrown more interceptions than touchdowns in a game and only one time has he completed less than 55% of his passes(not in the same game).

Duke is impressive but I am not sure what they are going to do. It could be ugly

Duke

I don’t think people are giving the Blue Devils enough credit for making it to the conference championship game. They did not get here by accident either with a 6-2 conference record that included wins over ranked at the time Virginia Tech and Miami teams. Maybe even more impressive is that they finished the season with two road victories knowing that a loss in either game was going to mean they wouldn’t have this opportunity.

Despite all that positive press I don’t really see how they are going to play with FSU. Miami and VT are flawed teams where a steady hand made upsets possible but the Seminoles are stocked with explosive athletes and this is still Duke. Their best chance is to play mistake free football and hope the Seminoles come out flat or can’t handle the pressure.

The Duke numbers across the board are nothing special and last year they lost to FSU 48-7. They may have a 10-2 ATS record this season including 7 in a row heading into this one but this is a completely different animal.

Spread Pick: Florida State -29.5
O/U Pick: Over
Score Prediction: Florida State 55 – Duke 17

By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.