Hawaii Bowl – Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Hawaii Warriors Preview Free College Football Pick
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Sheraton Hawaii Bowl – Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Hawaii Warriors
Friday December 24 – 9:00PM
Aloha Stadium – Honolulu, Hawaii
Tulsa (9-3) vs Hawaii (10-3)
Moneyline: Hawaii -380, Tulsa +310
Spread Favourite: Hawaii -10
Over/Under: 73
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Tulsa
Tulsa put together their 9-3 record very quietly this season. They opened the season with a very entertaining loss to East Carolina which set them back in the Conference USA but since the opener they have only two blemishes, losses to Oklahoma State and SMU. They enter the bowl game on a 6 game winning streak including road upset victories over Houston and Notre Dame. Not a bad season for the third best team in the state of Oklahoma.
As usual Tulsa is getting it done by putting a lot of points on the board. They are 10th in the nation averaging just under 40ppg. This year they are getting it done with better balance though. Tulsa is ranked 14th in the nation is rush offense and 16th in passing. This makes them much harder to defend, as does the fact that QB G.J. Kinne is a threat to bomb away or tuck and run on any play.
These two teams have some history as former conference mates in the WAC but haven’t met since 2004 so it is not all that relevant. The key for the Golden Hurricane to pull off the upset will be how their defense performs. They are used to seeing pass happy teams in Conference USA but haven’t had a ton of success slowing them down. They are second worst in the country in passing yards allowed. 
Hawaii
Another strong season for the Rainbow Warriors on the Island. Their pass happy attack generated 10 wins including tagging Nevada with their only loss of the season. The only head scratcher was an embarrasing road loss to Colorado. Hawaii is one of three teams playing bowls in their home stadium, where they are 6-1 SU and a perfect 7-0 ATS this season. Christmas eve in Hawaii sounds pretty good!
Hawaii is the number one passing team in the nation averaging 387 yards through the air per game. With that kind of success don’t be fooled into thinking that they can’t run the ball. Senior running back Alex Green has really emerged. He has over 1100 yards and is averaging a staggering 8.8 yards per carry with 17 TDs. Bryant Moniz to Greg Salas is a prolific combo but this team has plenty of weapons.
The Rainbows are the leading moneymakers from the regular season with their spectacular 11-2 ATS record. As mentioned they were perfect against the number at home but I am surprised to see them installed as double digit favourites given their own defensive shortcomings while facing an opponent that can put up numbers on pretty much anybody. That number might be right though, Hawaii is a perfect 7-0 ATS as a favourite this season as well.
The Pick: I like Hawaii to win on their home turf in a barn burner. However, I think this one will be closer than the oddsmakers say.
College Football Gambling Trends
Golden Hurricane are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Golden Hurricane are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Golden Hurricane are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Warriors are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Score Prediction: Hawaii 52 – Tulsa 47
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