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Troy vs. Louisiana-Monroe Free Week 9 Preview & Pick (Oct. 30)

On Saturday October 30th its the Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks. Odds have the Trojans listed as 16.5-point favorites. The game’s total is set at 55, here is a preview, free pick plus the college football betting angle.

NCAA Football Odds – Troy Trojans vs Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Free Pick & Preview

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Troy vs Louisiana-Monroe

Saturday October 30 – 3:30PM
Malone Stadium – Monroe, Louisiana
Troy (4-2) vs ULM (3-4)
Moneyline: Troy -670, ULM +485
Spread Favourite: Troy -16.5
Over/Under: 55
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!

Troy

The Trojans once again appear to be the best team in the SunBelt Conference.  They are one of only two teams who have yet to lose a game in conference play, the other –  Florida International, as they head on the road this weekend.  This team is not as strong defensively as it has been in the past but it has won all of its conference games by at least a touchdown thanks to an offense that hasn’t missed a beat after suffering graduation losses.

The reason the offense is humming is that freshman QB Corey Robinson has been very sharp.  He is directing the 10th most prolific passing attack in the country and has a very acceptable 12-6 touchdown to interception ratio.  Easing his transition is leading receiver Jerrel Jernigan.  Jernigan is on his way to another 1000 yard season and many think he has the talent to be a first round NFL draft pick in the spring.

Troy has won the majority of the games against the Warhawks but the last two times they have visited Monroe they have walked away as losers.  They are only 3-4 ATS against ULM who seems to get up when playing the conference’s best.  Considering Troy’s dominance over the SunBelt ULM’s performance against the Trojans is actually quite impressive.  The Trojans have lost only 2 conference games the last three seasons.

Louisiana-Monroe

Returning only 10 starters from a 6-6 team a year ago not much was expected from the Warhawks this season.  But at 3-4 they have a decent chance of reaching the six win plateau that would make them eligible for their first ever bowl game.  If they can work their home magic again against Troy it will doubly serve to get them the wins they need and improve their bowl profile.

ULM is doing well despite the fact that their offensive and defensive numbers are worse than a year ago.  They seem to have mastered winning by a little and losing by a lot which is a tough thing to do.  Their three wins are by an average of 3 points while of their four losses only one was as close as 14 points.  They may be in for another double digit loss this weekend.

The thing the Warhawks do best is pass the ball.  Redshirt freshman Kolton Browning has been very effective and is on pace for a 3000 yards season.  Unfortunately he is their leading rusher too.  This is a suprise because ULM returned last year’s leading rusher Frank Goodin who rushed for over 1100 yards last season with 13 TDs.  He averaged more than 5 yards per carry last season but this year he is averaging half that.  ULM is 115th in the country rushing as a result.

The Pick: Even though ULM has had success against Troy at home in the past I don’t think they are going to be so lucky this time around.  Troy should win easily but I think the spread might be a little hefty.

College Football Gambling Trends

Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Trojans are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Trojans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Trojans are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 conference games.
Warhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Warhawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Score Prediction:  Troy 38 – ULM 24

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