NCAA Football Odds – Southern Methodist Mustangs vs Tulane Green Wave Free Pick & Preview
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SMU vs Tulane
Saturday October 31 – 3:30 PM
Louisiana Superdome – New Orleans, Louisiana
SMU (4-4) vs Tulane (3-4)
Moneyline: No moneyline currently posted.
Spread Favourite: SMU -7.5
Over/Under: 53.5
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!
SMU
The Mustangs blew a huge opportunity last week against Houston. They had a chance to take command in the division and were playing against the Cougars third string QB but still lost by 25. Now they are tied and have to hope that the Cougars lose again while they remain perfect to make the Conference USA championship game. This was supposed to be the year the program took a step forward but that thought might have been premature.
The primary reasons the Mustangs lost last week were turnovers and special teams. In fact they actually outgained the Cougars but coughing up the ball three times and allowing a 91 yard kickoff return to Tyron Carrier sealed their fate. Against explosive teams like Houston you can’t fuel the fire by making mistakes. Even shorthanded the Cougars still know how to move the ball and SMU helped them out too much.
SMU and Tulane haven’t exactly had a lot of success on the field over the last decade. That is why it was surprising to see that Tulane has dominated the series winning seven of ten over that period.
Last year SMU won a game which was closer than expected but the momentum this year favours the Green Wave with SMU coming off of such a disappointing loss. 
Tulane
The Green Wave, with three victories already, just might have a slim chance at a bowl game this year. When you look at their schedule I see a couple of more victories but they are going to need to pull at least one upset to reach the magic six victory mark to qualify. This week’s home game against SMU might just be the best opportunity to make it happen.
Tulane was impressive last week beating UTEP on the road by 10. Not only was it an upset victory but they did a great job containing the UTEP’s passing game which bodes well as they face an ever harder SMU passing attack to stop. They outgained the Miners by almost 200 yards in the contest and winning the turnover battle easily 1-3. That combined with a great ground attack sealed one of the more impressive victories in Conference USA this season.
Momentum may be on their side but it is still going to be a tough slog against SMU. Last week the defense held the Miners to only 24 points but they usually give up more than that. The key will be getting off to a good start. In all of their wins they were winning or tied at halftime. In all of their losses they were down at the half. This is not a good comeback team so they need to keep pace early or they get lost.
The Pick: I am not sure what to make of Tulane. Because of their geography they are able to get some really good athletes but their performance is really inconsistent. They should be able to keep this one close but it is a hard call.
College Football Gambling Trends
Mustangs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Mustangs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Mustangs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Green Wave are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Green Wave are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog.
Green Wave are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
Score Prediction: SMU 33 – Tulane 28
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