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UTEP vs. Marshall Free Week 9 Preview & Pick (Oct. 30)

On Saturday October 30th its the UTEP Miners vs. Marshall Thundering Herd. Odds have the Herd listed as 3-point favorites. The game’s total is set at 51.5, here is a preview, free pick plus the college football betting angle.

NCAA Football Odds – Texas-El Paso Miners vs Marshall Thundering Herd Free Pick & Preview

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UTEP vs Marshall Matchup Report

Saturday October 30 – 3:00PM
Joan C. Edwards Stadium – Huntington, West Virginia
UTEP (5-3) vs Marshall (1-6)
Moneyline: No moneyline currently posted
Spread Favourite: Marshall -3
Over/Under:  51.5
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!

UTEP

The Miners might have 5 wins but their list of conquests is thoroughly unimpressive.  They lost last week to Tulane in an ugly game and if they want to go bowling this winter I suggest they take care of business this week as they may not get another chance at victory having exhausted all the patsies on their schedule.

Trevor Vittatoe was just awful in last week’s loss to Tulane.  Awful!!.  They need him to step up and play the way he did in last year’s victory over the Thundering Herd when he threw for over 500 yards with 5 touchdowns.  If he can reach even half of those totals the Miners should be in good shape, especially with their running game clicking with Donald Buckram and Joseph Banyard.  This team doesn’t have to rely as much on the pass as they have in the past but Vittatoe can’t lose the game for them.

These teams have met only three times since Marshall joined the conference.  Each time the home team has won and covered.  None of the games have been closer than 28 points.  I think the Miners are likely to break that streak of home team victories.  Marshall is just so bad this year it is hard to imagine they can muster the effort even though most have them pegged as the favourite right now.

Marshall

As expected the Thundering Herd lost another one this past week, although it might have been a moral victory to hold ECU to only 37 points.  They were able to keep up with the Pirates for a half, sort of, but didn’t score in the second half and couldn’t slow down the Pirates either. 

I would have thought that Marshall would be the underdog this week but the oddsmakers have installed them as the favourite at home against UTEP.

QB Brian Anderson put the ball in the air 47 times last week but had trouble connecting with his guys.  He completed only 27 of those passes to his own team and three times the guys in the purple shirts caught the ball.  For this Marshall team to win he has to protect the ball. 

This team is struggling in all phases right now and they have no chance if they are not in the positive in the turnover battle.

I have to reiterate my surprise that the Thundering Herd are favoured in this spot.  While it is certainly possible that the oddsmakers know more than I do, what I see is a team that is just dead in the water with nothing to play for against a team that needs to scrap to make something of their season.  If they were big rivals there might be something to motivate Marshall but that isn’t the case.

The Pick: I am firmly behind UTEP to upset Marshall here.  This is a great spot to play the underdog straight up but if you like safety take the points.

College Football Gambling Trends

Miners are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Miners are 8-20 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Miners are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Thundering Herd are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Thundering Herd are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Thundering Herd are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Score Prediction:  UTEP 34 – Marshall 20

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